Compare/contrast American Presidential elections

[David Horn]

(10-26-2020, 09:18 PM)Marypoza Wrote:

(09-24-2020, 04:00 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(09-24-2020, 02:41 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: Fewer than 50 days may remain before I get to compare the 2020 election to others. Biden does appeal to much the same people who voted for Obama, so unless he makes headway among people who voted for Romney in 2012, I already expect the Biden 2020 map to fit something closer to the Eisenhower-Obama overlay than anything else.

On the appeal issue, don't forget that evaluation systems are different for different people.  Yes, the two are similar on policy, but far from alike on the coolness factor.  The people who found Obama cool may not be finding anything in Biden to like ... or dislike.  He's just old and boring to them --  unlike Bernie.

-- he's senile af

I thought about this, and have to disagree.  Biden isn't senile, any more than Trump.  He's just past his Use-By date.  His benchmarks are all in a no longer valid past.  We can't go there, but that hasn't sunk in yet. Biden would prefer comity to reign, as it had for decades after WW-II. So would I, but it's a total nonstarter.  Until that hits home, Biden will be ineffective.  If it takes too long to hit, the entire enterprise will be lost -- something we can't afford.  So yes, he's not the right guy for the times, but not for that reason.