12-09-2020, 07:35 PM
(12-08-2020, 06:06 PM)MarkDBlackwell Wrote: The youngest Boomers will retire eventually—are Gen-X ready? There are reasons to think the long-awaited, wholesale tip-over of power, from Baby Boom to Gen-X, will happen next year, in 2021.
My article, Generational tipping point: 2021, explains the historical reasoning.
This aims to be a serious, scientific article, so please critique!
World War II didn't end simply because some generation reached a tipping point. It ended because by 1945, the Axis powers collapsed. If they had more resources or otherwise been stronger, it would have gone on longer. Of course, the generations being where they were allowed it to end - and if the Axis powers had collapsed too early, the Allies might have gone on to fight the Soviet Union.
But what I'm saying is that some huge earth shaking conflict is not going to just stop because the generations are now aligned properly. It has to play itself out. World War I managed to happen in the middle of an unraveling. In the current situation, nothing has been resolved in the U.S. The crisis can't stop, it has to blow up and get bigger and bigger until the situation resolves itself.
If you're predicting that this must happen soon, then things are about to get very bad, very fast. Along the lines of the U.S. Civil War.