08-15-2016, 08:06 PM
(08-15-2016, 11:34 AM)tg63 Wrote:(08-13-2016, 02:05 AM)Eric the Green Wrote:(08-12-2016, 11:16 AM)tg63 Wrote: As long as the western & developing world is dependent on oil, and as long as the Middle East remains one of the primary sources of that resource (if not THE primary source), conflict will be present.
That might suggest that the Middle East conflicts WILL end after the 4T, because the developed and developing world MUST stop using oil by the end of this 4T. That is the chief challenge our 4T must meet.
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While we might be able to put a real framework in place for alternatives within 15 years, there's simply no way that the world will be in any kind of position to stop using oil. Look around - highways, home heating, shipping & trucking, air travel ... we are decades away from replacing all that infrastructure, no matter how imperative the need is.
And don't get me wrong, I'm not suggesting there won't be ongoing conflict in the ME, of course there will be. But will it stabilize to the point where the original poster is going? ie safe enough for travel similar to central America today ... well, maybe, once western & Russian interests are sufficiently diminished.
Yes, and that will only come when we stop using oil. Make no mistake about it, we must make the transition in this turning, or we will be turning away from civilization.
The transformation may not be complete by 2028. But we must be so well on our way that we won't need Middle East oil. But no, ME conflict will not be over. But perhaps somewhat less chance that we are drawn into it.
