(08-18-2016, 09:54 AM)David Horn Wrote:By 2020, the older White male cohort will be down another 2 percentage points of the electorate (not even adding in the increasing urban/rural vote ratio) means it will take a lot to see a Rightee in the WH. That basic demographic trend put Obama in the WH in 2008; by 2020, the Obama coalition will be 6 points bigger and the oppo 6 pts smaller - that's a 12 point total spreads! What possibly could overcome that???(08-17-2016, 09:24 PM)playwrite Wrote:(08-17-2016, 02:52 PM)David Horn Wrote: No, we agree 100% here. Hillary wants the position and the prestige that goes with it. I'm less convinced she actually wants to accomplish all that much though. Most of her stated goals falls solidly in the small-ball range. Since Presidents only get a portion of the things they request. I see a disappointing next 4 years, maybe less inspiring than the post-2010 Obama experience ... setting up the critical 2020 election for the not-Dems
Making the SCOTUS Progressive for several decades is not small ball, it's about as big a thing possible on the domestic policy side.
Also, as I said earlier, low expectations for her, and Clinton not having Obama's 1st term naivety concerning the GOP, positions her to perhaps get more actually done than people now believe possible. Stay tune.
As I noted in the old forum, I'll hold my nose and vote for Hillary to save the SCOTUS if nothing else. It's entirely possible that the 2020 blowback will obviate any other gains, but the SCOTUS has tilted right for far too long to ignore this opportunity. Then again, if it was anyone but Trump, I might play the long game ... but it's not.
It's over.