03-16-2021, 04:07 AM
(This post was last modified: 03-16-2021, 04:19 AM by Captain Genet.)
(01-26-2021, 12:19 PM)mamabug Wrote: I haven't studied modern Russian history enough to make any predictions. If we take 1917 as part of their Crisis era, then they could be as much as one full turning ahead of the West. Putin certainly has all the characteristics of a totalitarian High leader. They could be slipping into their next awakening.
I like PBrower's idea that all countries that experienced WW2 seriously are on the same timeline. Russia experienced WW2 in a way much bloodier than the English-speaking nations. So, if WW2 was not a crisis for them, nothing ever was. Then they had a High in the 1960s, with improving quality of daily life and technological successes. The 1980s were an Awakening with glasnost' and perestroika. The 1990s a really bad Unravelling.
Putin is a Crisis leader. It's an unusual 4T since it seemingly consists mostly of a regeneracy. The revival of national identity and interest in tradition is a very typical 4T bit. Remember that from a Putinist POV, Russia is under siege. Western democracies impose sanctions. Inclusivist NGOs try to impose their alien values. Islamist insurgents try to whittle a piece of land away and recreate their Caucasus Emirate. Russians living in Odessa or Kharkov are treated like foreigners. Aren't these typical Crisis concerns?
I've seen young Russians who support Navalny compared to young Poles who support recent "women's strikes". If we accept that Poland is currently undergoing a 4T, then Russia is too.
BTW, neoreactionaries and national-populists often claim that Russia is undergoing a religious revival. If this were true, we would indeed be talking about a 2T, but it is not. Putin would like it to appear this way, but the state-sponsored revival of Orthodoxy is very superficial. Few Russians go to church regularly. One neoreactionary on another board claimed that Russian Army is fighting "godless Ukrainians" in Donbass, before I showed him that the number of practicing Christians in Ukraine is higher.