03-22-2021, 12:20 AM
Twenty states. Pennsylvania is favorability, but that is significantly higher than the razor-thin margin of victory for him in November.
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2016&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;5]](https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2016&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;9;5&AK=0;3;5&AZ=0;11;5&AR=0;6;5&CA=1;55;9&CO=0;9;5&CT=0;7;5&DE=0;3;5&DC=0;3;5&FL=1;29;3&GA=1;16;8&HI=0;4;5&ID=0;4;5&IL=0;20;5&IN=0;11;5&IA=1;6;3&KS=0;6;5&KY=2;8;5&LA=0;8;5&MD=0;10;5&MA=1;11;8&MI=1;16;4&MN=0;10;5&MS=2;6;7&MO=2;10;5&MT=0;3;5&NV=1;6;4&NH=1;4;3&NJ=0;14;5&NM=0;5;5&NY=1;29;7&NC=1;15;5&ND=0;3;5&OH=0;18;5&OK=0;7;5&OR=1;7;5&PA=1;20;4&RI=0;4;5&SC=0;9;5&SD=2;3;5&TN=0;11;5&TX=1;38;3&UT=2;6;4&VT=0;3;5&VA=1;13;6&WA=1;12;8&WV=0;5;5&WI=1;10;3&WY=0;3;5&ME=0;2;5&ME1=0;1;5&ME2=0;1;5&NE=0;2;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;5)
Key:
30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+
50% green shade: tie
30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+
Even the 40% shade is good for the President is in a state that he barely won. Obviously there is much time for things to go wrong for President Biden between now and November 2024.. but so far he has made few mistakes. Barely two months after the inauguration we have a solid idea of how he is doing in enough states to give a characterization that if this were the way things look in September 2024, then one could give the President's opponent little chance of winning.
Key:
30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+
50% green shade: tie
30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+
Even the 40% shade is good for the President is in a state that he barely won. Obviously there is much time for things to go wrong for President Biden between now and November 2024.. but so far he has made few mistakes. Barely two months after the inauguration we have a solid idea of how he is doing in enough states to give a characterization that if this were the way things look in September 2024, then one could give the President's opponent little chance of winning.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.