The Partisan Divide on Issues

[David Horn]

(05-24-2021, 04:33 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(05-24-2021, 10:02 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(05-22-2021, 11:14 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: If Biden has a good deal of success, and he seems off to a good start, some of the furor on the right could dissipate and the left would thus win the coming battle in our cold civil war. Our side will have the majority, accelerated by millennials and Gen Z and the feared immigrants. But the constitution has given the right-wing a growing, built-in advantage in the supreme court, the senate, the electoral college and the 2nd Amendment, and being without principle and now also dedicated to false conspiracy theories, the right will carry out attempts to suppress anyone who is not rich and white from voting. Rural portions could secede from blue states and add a little bit more to their electoral vote and some extra congressional seats, although this would probably not be approved unless the Republicans have already won back Congress. Greater Idaho (aka the State of Jefferson) is already talked about. It may be harder for blue cities to secede from red states. So although the left can fight back if they win the senate in 2022 by giving representation to DC and Puerto Rico, the right-wing side does have some advantages, even though history and the people are not on their side.

Total secession and splitting the country may be the only solution if the left cannot attain a clear victory. I would say, we will not have the usual kind of Prophet Generation if it does not. What kind of generation they would be is open to question. But Prophets are supposed to be victory children, and victory has always meant that the progressive side won.

Sadly, dividing the country into Blue and Red will be impossible, for all practical purposes.   A better tactic would be to Blue-up parts of Red America.  Texas is a real possibility, especially now that the Texas legislature and governor stiffed Harris County out of more-than-due Hurricane Harvey relief funds.  Harris County has 5 Million residents and 9 Congressional seats.  Add Dallas but not Fort Worth, Austin and San Antonio and it won't take much to swing this state Blue.  When that happens, the Electoral College will be tilted left for the first time in decades, and killing it may finally be an option. I'm still unclear about fixing the Senate.

From there, negotiate from strength, not weakness.

I hope so. Also, El Paso! Texas is taking a long time though. The Trump vote only decreased from 9% to 6%. It will depend on Biden running again, and a weak Republican candidate in 2024, for Texas to leap blue for the first time since Carter.

If the Senate gets a few more real Democrats, such as in WI and PA, in 2022, and manages to keep Warnock and Kelly, killing the filibuster in 2023 will be even easier than killing the electoral college. Most Senate Democrats and their leadership favor this. If the filibuster is killed or even weakened, then the option of adding seats for DC and PR could cement the Democratic majority. Beto doesn't seem up to much. Perhaps a rematch with Cruz may be in the offing in 2024.

The Republicans running Texas seem hellbent to screw-over every Democrat they can, and the Harris County example is only one case. If enough of the not-Trumpist faction of the GOP, and any independents floating around, decide that enough is enough, this could change and quickly.  That many Californians are moving to Texas can't hurt either.

2022 will be a tell.