06-18-2021, 11:29 AM
(06-18-2021, 07:46 AM)David Horn Wrote: "The tides of man wait for no one". We've moved into a new paradigm twice in the brief history of this republic, and both changes: the Industrial Age and the Information Age, altered the saeculum in subtle but observable ways. One of those changes is the intensity of the dominant Turnings. In the case of 2Ts, communication that took days or weeks before the telegraph became same-day nationwide (and later worldwide). The internet has put that model on steroids. 4Ts were expedited by the railroad and later by automobiles and airplanes. Hypersonic weapons will move that to real time. The intensity level merely follows suit. Look at the last 2T as the first full model. So no, we can't be this way for another 6 to 9 years. If this is a game of attrition, the neo-GOP will probably win long before we reach 2030.
I agree that the saeculum itself is driven by the human life, so adjustments will be take here and give there. Was our last 1T longer? I think it was, by a year or two. I think we've just watched an extended 3T as well.
On the other hand, machine guns, nukes, insurgent wars and proxy wars have cut down on crisis wars. The major powers have not become involved in such. Non violence has provided another way of change, intense still, but not in the way the Civil War and WW II were.
Yes, things have shifted, I'm just not sure you have the direction entirely right?
That this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom, and that government of the people, by the people, for the people shall not perish from the earth.