06-21-2021, 11:29 AM
(06-21-2021, 09:03 AM)David Horn Wrote:(06-21-2021, 02:34 AM)nguyenivy Wrote:(06-20-2021, 07:53 PM)David Horn Wrote:(06-20-2021, 03:59 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Among observers here and elsewhere, the exact dates vary a bit. And the definitions of the turnings vary a bit. Even if some people end up calling 2026-29 first turning years, many traits of a fourth turning will still be present. Some sort of climax is due in 2027; bet on it. And Blue Boomers still have the responsibility to lead the battles and changes we need.
Don't count too heavily on Blue Boomers, or any Boomers for that matter. We're far too divided to lead anything.
Which archetypes are usually the ones who conceive the ideas that will become policies & practices of the next saeculum after the Crisis? Hero? Nomad? Prophet? It seems like the Hero archetype is a bit young to set the stage but just the right age to reinforce the new ways during the transition to the next 1T, but the Nomads & Prophets are old enough to do so. How did it go last time? What place in society did GIs have around 1950 vs the Lost & Missionary gens? Looking at the table again, it seems like the Prophet archetypes are usually pretty old & exiting the public sphere by the time the new 1T rolls around (middle of Boomer gen turns 76 in 2030). So I'd expect this time around Boomer influence will be lower than X or Millennial in the 2030s, should the 1T start by then. In 2030, the centre of Gen X (1971) will turn 59 & centre of Millennial (1993) will turn 37.
Prophets should carry that load, but we're a fractured group this time. Too many on both sides to create even the illusion of consensus. X is all-in on sticking with the old model and the Millennials are looking for anything but. Based solely on numbers, the Millennials should win, but will they?
It is still up to prophet boomers. The fact that we are divided is no excuse. The blue boomers need to defeat the red boomers, and blue needs to defeat red among every generation. This is not a generational battle. A majority of white male millennials voted for Trump. Victory is the only possible consensus. The nature and cause of our 4T is our division, which is caused by the evil on the red side blocking progress.
We are 1850s redux, approaching the 1860s. Should the Union prophets have said "we can't carry the load of defeating the Confederates" because too many prophets are Confederates? Blue boomers and all blues need to defeat the Confederates of today. We are in a cold civil war that may become hot, and we blue boomers need to lead the fight.