(05-17-2016, 11:40 AM)radind Wrote:(05-17-2016, 11:29 AM)playwrite Wrote: It's going to be fun to compare your explanations in November with your current analysis here.
Looking forward to it.
Unless the FBI report takes Clinton out, I expect Clinton to be elected. Then I expect a long period of domination by the Democratic party in presidential elections. After this, I would expect either a totally new and different GOP or a new party to emerge to challenge the Democratic party.
Agree, but I see the Dems splitting into a more populist versus business orientation (I'd say neo-liberal for the latter but that's become more charged than even "liberal"). Many of the GOP folks will glum on to both sides. Hopefully those middle class Whites that are going for Trump will realize a Sanders type candidate will actually care about them for longer than the 6 months of every election cycle. Some of the GOP elites will try to join and persuade the Dem business side toward their old GOP ways, but doing so to any degree will get that side of the Dem split killed by the populist side in the next election so that backward drift will be moderated.
A good size of the GOP will become a regional power in parts of the South, Plains states, and even some MidWest (like Indiana) particularly around social issues (e.g., policing bathrooms) but with demographics they'll be constantly whittled down.
Some will likely take up the offer to move to Greenland, and hopefully take the free one-way ticket offer if they take 10 guns with them.
Oh, and the Libertarians/Austrains/Randians will still not have bought a clue.