10-25-2021, 11:07 PM
(10-24-2021, 08:43 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: Would you take a trip by car if you thought that you had a 1% chance of dying during the journey? In 50 trips you would have about a 40% of dying. That is a very poor survival rate. Naval aviators have about a 23% chance of dying in a 15-year career as such even without combat. Combat is even more dangerous, adding other risks that I need not express.I take a risk of being killed in a car accident or dying from something else every day of the week dude. Americans take risks with their lives all the time.
Speaking of journeys, here is one place that I am sure that you would avoid. It is one of the worst slums in America, the Kensington "community" in Philadelphia. Watch at your own risk. It looks like a "Needle Park". It is unlikely that the people "shooting up" are diabetics using insulin.
Would you take risks on a heroin or meth habit? I don't know which is more dangerous -- IV drug use or COVID-19. You just showed me an estimate of 750,000 deaths, and -- yes, I have a calculator available. The death rate is about 1.6%. I know, of course, that such is a low rate in contrast to the death rates for cancer, strokes, and heart attacks, but those take time to develop. COVID-19 takes about a month to go from infection to death. Yes, you are taking a greater risk of death from lung cancer alone with every puff of a cigarette, but it takes a huge number of puffs from coffin nails to increase one's death rate from lung cancer by 1.6%. That is not a trivialization of smoking as a health risk; it is a bad habit with no obvious mitigating factors.
Stupid risks are for fools.