01-08-2022, 01:31 PM
(This post was last modified: 01-08-2022, 01:49 PM by Eric the Green.)
(01-08-2022, 03:55 AM)nguyenivy Wrote:(01-02-2022, 02:22 PM)pbrower2a Wrote:(01-02-2022, 01:01 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Millennials turn 40? Say it ain't so!
The 4th turning won't end until 2029.
Unless we deal strongly with climate change before then, the fourth turning will never end.
Climate change is a baby alligator now. It will grow into a monster.
Contrasting what the world can be in 80 years, climate change so far is a baby alligator. Any dog can likely overpower and devout a baby alligator. When the alligator is fully grown it will literally take a dog off what is the top of the food chain... as a meal. In Michigan the dog is the top of the food chain. In Florida, the alligator is. Alligators in Lake Erie or the Hudson? God help us!
I can already predict what will be the real cause of the Crisis of 2100: global warming. How severe the Crisis will be will depend upon how severe it is. Prime farming areas will be inundated or desertified, which will cause the dislocation of hundreds of millions of people. Tropical diseases will start appearing in places like Chicago, London, and Tokyo which now consider themselves exempt.
Millennials are now the biggest market for housing, vehicles, appliances, furniture, and (once COVID is over) vacation travel. It won't be long before some of them have college-age kids. (Those are current teenagers of the next, likely Adaptive-Artist generation. As time passes, watch the sparks fly. Businesses will need to adapt; so will politicians. Those pols who can't adapt will find themselves losing elections.
I guess the big question is: How do we 'do it all'? In the US alone, we have: COVID-19 pandemic (still), democratic/political institutions under attack, racism/xenophobia, unbalanced economy/unfair treatment of employees, & global warming/climate change all going at once. It seems a tall order to be able to fix all these in what 8 years? I suppose it is possible given how fast life was uprooted when we entered the pandemic in March 2020. Climate change seems like it will be an ongoing thing well beyond the end of this 4T. Perhaps the entire next saeculum will be dedicated to solving this? Even though I agree that CC is the big one for us all, I feel like American society is going to prioritise everything else other than CC unless our hands are forced like they were for the early parts of the pandemic.
Also, I'm wondering if the pandemic will end up just taking up much of what remains of this turning & the other stuff will end up being pushed off into the next turning (can't get much else done with over 1000 Americans dying every day from the virus on top of other causes). Perhaps if we get a grip on it this year and can get totally out of the pandemic before about 2024, we still will have time to tackle the other things we really need to fix in US society. I say 2024 because I think assuming it ends this year, it will take another year or so for us to get used to post-pandemic life. Not everyone will feel comfortable behaving like 2019 straight away after 3 years of wearing a mask & staying far from people - as well as being conditioned to do that. I for one have 3 vaccine doses but have yet to go out without masking up (even before Omicron & Delta hit US shores).
No, climate change is a monster now. It is not acceptable to ignore that fact. It must be dealt with now or it will kill us. Only a monster is capable of doing the damage it is ALREADY doing to people and property now and to the entire living world.
The pandemic is just another aspect of our fourth turning. It happened because of neoliberalism, which ignores or casts out the need for government to help the people. Neoliberalism says we are self-reliant individuals who must compete and solve our own problems. It says taxes and regulations must be reduced and the benefits will trickle down. It has divided our nation. This is our current Crisis. Neoliberalism causes us to fail to deal with problems, including inequality/poverty, the climate crisis, the attack on democracy, and pandemics. We cannot ignore one of the results of neoliberalism to deal with others. They must all be dealt with now. Noone said a 4T would be easy. But it's all hitting us in the face now. One senator is blocking our way. Write to him and tell him to do his duty.
Again, Mr. Brower, you did not pay attention to what I said here. Global warming will NOT be the Crisis of 2100. If we fail to deal with it now, global warming will be our reality from today onward. We will have one continuous saecular winter from now onward. By 2100 our civilization will be ending, and we will not recover. There will be no more saeculum cycle. Besides, *I* am the "predictor" around here
Even if we deal with global warming now, it will be an ongoing problem after 2029, but it will get better. By 2100, it will be dealt with and receding. It's up to us, NOW. The Crisis of 2100 will either be something else than global warming, or else civilization and the entire cycle will be ending.