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2001=1836, 2008=1843, 2019=1854 and 2026=1861
#2
The Gilded are an awkward anomaly in having been raised as Reactive/Nomad kids with little direction until they got thrust into a Hero role, taking on most of the characteristics of a Civic generation in adulthood. They weren't as brainy as one would expect of a Civic generation.

Should there be any military equivalent of the Civil War, this one will have a genuine Civic generation in place. The Millennial Generation has been slow to achieve high public office due to the extended tenures of late-wave Silent (we are seeing their last acts) and early-wave Boomers (between Clinton, Dubya, and Donald Trump, that was not so great). As Silent and early-wave Boomers die off or become unpresentable, younger pols (almost certainly a mixture of middle-to-late X and early-wave Millennials) will be showing up in the Senate, the House, Governorships, Cabinet posts, and the roles of big-city mayors. Early-wave X? Note well that Obama is approaching elderhood, as he will be turning 61 in August.

Political styles will change. I see it likely that we will have a "mature Reactive" or two as President. One of them could be a conservative version of Barack Obama, a chilly rationalist who respects tradition, expertise, formality, precedent, and protocol and is more likely to solve problems than to play them up. (The immature Reactive is well reflected in angry firebrands who have scores to settle as foci of their destructive agendas, as shown by Lost fascists and the Lost stooges of Stalin. Ferenc Szalasi and Matyas Rakosi were a fascist and a Stalinist, and both had far more in common than being Hungarians, and all to the evil side in history. A hint: they now dwell in much the same bolgia of Hell, the more recent annex full of Nazis, Stalinists, Ba'athists, and ISIS). I like Ike as a model for sober leadership, but I see the Obama and Eisenhower Presidencies as very similar.

The Mature reactive is a valid transition from apocalyptic war to a time in which (Civic) adults can do big things, young (Idealist) can think big things, and midlife (Adaptive) adults can loosen the strictures of life. Obama came too early for such, but he certainly did his share to calm America and avoid trouble in a potentially-dangerous time. Between two troubled Presidencies that is exactly what America needed.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist  but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.


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RE: 2001=1836, 2008=1843, 2019=1854 and 2026=1861 - by pbrower2a - 01-09-2022, 01:44 PM

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