(03-21-2022, 12:56 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Things won't be exactly the same next time around starting in 2029, but it'll be enough alike so that the cycle goes on. Well, at least unless and until it doesn't. We get off Reaganomics in the 2020s, or we don't turn the cycle.
Not necessary to turn the cycle. Though it certainly would make the 1T a whole lot better. 1Ts are under no obligation to be "the good times." We may be heading for a turning like Moldova's current one. It's not exactly cheerful, but it is still just as much a 1T as the US had in the 1950s.
(03-24-2022, 06:10 AM)Eric the Green Wrote: The crisis mindset is increasing; perhaps that offers some hope.
The regeneracy has been reached, at least in some countries. Germany is probably the strongest example right now, but really it's happening all over Europe. There have been some faint signs of it here (for example, the partisan gap in Ukraine/Russia support is literally zero), but I'm holding off on declaring it for now, mostly out of a feeling of "if a pandemic that sent the nation into lockdown for months and only barely avoided completely overwhelming our healthcare system didn't start it, how can anything else?"
(03-22-2022, 06:41 PM)JasonBlack Wrote: All those great Japanese video games are such precisely because they're on a different phase of the cycle than we are (or else, a different type of cycle altogether).
No, Japan is in a 4T. They're just good at making video games.
And 4T popular culture is often some of the best you'll find. I believe pbrower2a has posted several times about this, about how music and film from the 1930s and 1940s often still holds up very well today (which cannot be said for media of the 1T that followed). Perhaps in America the television of the 2010s, television's last decade before its death-by-streaming, will be remembered in the same way.
(03-22-2022, 06:41 PM)JasonBlack Wrote: Millennials are really a lot like soldiers in their constant desire to sniff out "deserters" in their midst. I don't see this going away during the 1T, in fact, I see it increasing as they fall into positions of greater institutional power.
This is something I've begun to worry about. When this characteristic really began to ramp up in 2017 I saw it as a good thing, but it's getting near-fanatical at this point.
2001, a very artistic hero and/or a very heroic artist