Does this 4T seem a little 2T-ish to anyone else?

[David Horn]

(04-01-2022, 12:03 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(04-01-2022, 07:38 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(03-31-2022, 02:08 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(03-31-2022, 01:02 PM)David Horn Wrote: Assuming failure, I doubt we'll move to a flat, unending sameness.  It would take an entire saeculum of sameness to make it permanent. I suspect that the next 2T will bring all the failure to the forefront, and, perhaps, kill it for a long time if not for good.

There is NO 2T without a successful 4T before it.

... and hence, our point of departure.  Remember, Germany and Japan, and to a lesser extent Italy and Finland, had failed 4Ts last time.  It's not ideal, but it's not a death sentence either.

As I already pointed out, Germany and Japan were rescued by the USA. Who is going to rescue the USA? And the whole world? ETs?

That's a fair point, but, to my way of thinking, not definitive.  Look at the model autocracies in the world.  All are pushing out the very people they need to succeed ... and those people have to go somewhere.  When does that create a new center mass that becomes a backlash against repression and, frankly, stupidity?  TBD, but not forever.

Again, I feel the undergirding of a 2T that won't feel very 2T when it happens.  There are too many issues waiting to be addressed that affect too many people to ignore.  This may be bottom-up this time.