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The Panic of 1857/The Panic of 2022
#11
(06-28-2022, 05:04 PM)David Horn Wrote:
(06-28-2022, 02:01 PM)nguyenivy Wrote:
(06-27-2022, 10:50 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: ... There's no technological fix for hunger, and hungry people upset with flagrant displays of conspicuous consumption by people devoid of conscience are exactly the ones to fall for Marxist rhetoric. Marxist ideology among its intelligentsia may be abstruse, but Marxist propaganda directed at semi-literate masses (and the optimum level of learning for a nasty social order such as a plutocratic nightmare is marginal literacy).

If we handle this Crisis Era badly, either solving nothing or -- worse -- regressing to an economic order that serves only elites while squeezing, bleeding, and brutalizing everyone else, then the next one will be a horror that will make World War II look gentle. The wars will be more destructive and the genocide more horrific.

I repeat -- global warming and overpopulation (and the two are connected) are crimes against humanity!

You mean Crisis of 2100 (78 years from now), right?  I believe given humanity's current behaviour, we aren't fully ready to deal with what will likely be the showcase event of that time: full impacts of climate change.  If things really do play out in the ways the theory claims (the 1T & 3T after Crisis nothing major happens), we will have totally missed our shot by decade end.  Are 2Ts usually a time to fix issues that affect the world as a whole or more localised/national issues?

If this 4T dies on the vine, and that's looking more and more likely at this point, then the 2T will be the crisis response we're lacking now.  I fear it may be a kinda-war of autocrats and anarchists -- not quite real-world dungeons and dragons, but close.

Would that mean the 1T in between will be more like a 2nd 3T and not a real 1T? What if we're in another saeculum anomaly again, like S&H claimed about the 1800s missing a turning? I can't imagine yet another 20+ years of trickle-down economics (!) with no changes.
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RE: The Panic of 1857/The Panic of 2022 - by nguyenivy - 06-28-2022, 09:38 PM

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