08-01-2022, 03:28 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-01-2022, 03:31 PM by Eric the Green.)
(08-01-2022, 02:54 PM)David Horn Wrote:(07-29-2022, 05:35 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: I tend to think vice versa. Trump does not get the nomination, but Biden does-- because there's no-one else. A cross-over Republican VP? Obviously not a trumper. I don't know any such Republicans who are also not neoliberals, and a neoliberal is not compatible with a Democratic president. And such a Democratic nominee had better not cave in and compromise with neoliberalism. It needs to go!
If Biden runs again, the Dems lose ... period! The Millies are already doing non-stop eyerolls at President Grandpa, and they're been a hard sell for the Dems in any case. The Dems have no chance of winning without serious Milennial support, so Biden has to go. I would be shocked if he doesn't know that. And rationnal Republicans do exist: Larry Hogan being the most obvious. Look at serving GOPpoers in Blue states.
Eric Wrote:Midterms are just as important as presidential elections. A surprise? We can't count on that. Obama: "you cannot sit back and wait for a savior..... all we need is hard-working people, who are accountable, and they will step up and join our government, and make things better, IF they have support." That support comes in the midterms, and that's where today's civic generation need to become civics and know this, and "show up". Biden needs support now. And if a Democrat wins in 2024, (s)he will need support in 2026.
Wishing isn't a strategy, and wishing seems to be the only thing in play. Let's admit it, to energize the Dem voters requires something dramatic, and Biden, et al, don't do dramatic. They had better learn fast. Support is soft to say the least, and a little excitement may be the difference between hollow non-participatory handwaving and a solid turnoput at the polls.
Nah, Biden can win, and he's all the Dems got. He still intends to run. Gretchen Whitmer will never win. Newsom can win, but he won't run if Biden does, and he's more likely to win in 2028 than in 2024. It is wishful thinking indeed to think any other Democrat besides Biden can beat a strong Republican. And yes, Biden can do dramatic. Again I remind you of his two speeches at the start of the year. I posted them here. He is not dramatic a lot of the time, but when he revs himself up, he is.
Obama: "you can't opt out because you're not sufficently inspired by this or that particular candidate. This is not a rock concert. This is not Coachella." Millennials need to learn that, and accept President Grandpa. They and everyone needs to stop blaming Biden for inflation. If they do, his poll numbers will rise.
Rational Republicans have no chance to be nominated. Zero. Even the high-scoring New York governor Pataki gave up even before the primaries. Low-scoring Hogan has zero chance. The Republicans will put up DeSantis, or maybe Trump. Biden can beat either of them. Tim Scott has no poll standing, but he would if he runs, and he'd be tough for any Democrat to beat. Tom Cotton could be a successor to Trump too and could win. But there is no hope for any of these irrational Republicans to be a good president.
Polls show enthusiasm among Democrats voters is up to 76%, while the strange, kooky, cruel Republicans still have 88% enthusiasm for their horrific destruction, according to NBC as of yesterday. Generic polls for the midterms between Democrats and Republicans are even at this point. The Dems need to be at least a few points ahead to win.