08-01-2022, 04:09 PM
I say "2T-ish", because I think they're too collectivistic and ideologically consistent to show the substantial tides and regularity of turnings seen in Western democracies (especially in the anglosphere).
With that said, the reason I suspect they're entering a more 2T-ish era is that the previous decades showed many signs of
- generation of "little emperors" from the 1 Child Policy, which took place from 1980 to 2016 (note: I don't necessarily think these indicate hard generational boundaries). Ironically, a bust rather than a boom, but with the similar effect of rearing a generation of pampered post-crisis children
- decades of consistent economic growth
- high levels of strictly enforced conformity
- strong cultural unity and optimism about the future
now, for the last few years, the bulk of those only child babies are in rising adulthood and we're seeing things like
- more individualistic consumption patterns
- still reasonable economic growth, but of a more turbulent nature with more ups and downs
- for the first time in quite awhile, massive protests
- renewed ideological fervor (in this case: reunification of Taiwan with China)
Of course, there are some differences. They're still a country of stifling conformity with ever-increasing surveillance and social credit scores, and their ideological thrusts seem to come from the old as much as the young, but by and large, I think the tide is turning for them just as it does for us.
With that said, the reason I suspect they're entering a more 2T-ish era is that the previous decades showed many signs of
- generation of "little emperors" from the 1 Child Policy, which took place from 1980 to 2016 (note: I don't necessarily think these indicate hard generational boundaries). Ironically, a bust rather than a boom, but with the similar effect of rearing a generation of pampered post-crisis children
- decades of consistent economic growth
- high levels of strictly enforced conformity
- strong cultural unity and optimism about the future
now, for the last few years, the bulk of those only child babies are in rising adulthood and we're seeing things like
- more individualistic consumption patterns
- still reasonable economic growth, but of a more turbulent nature with more ups and downs
- for the first time in quite awhile, massive protests
- renewed ideological fervor (in this case: reunification of Taiwan with China)
Of course, there are some differences. They're still a country of stifling conformity with ever-increasing surveillance and social credit scores, and their ideological thrusts seem to come from the old as much as the young, but by and large, I think the tide is turning for them just as it does for us.
ammosexual
reluctant millennial
reluctant millennial