2022 midterm polls

[David Horn]

(08-02-2022, 01:21 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: I don't see Biden as any more incrementalist than any of the candidates you have suggested. Biden had adopted some of Bernie's platform planks and priorities. He offered a transformational program typical of 4Ts. Because not enough Democrats were elected to the Senate with him, 2 senators have changed his agenda into a more incrementalist one. That was done by Manchin and Sinema, NOT Biden. No president, I don't care how young or how charismatic, can get much of anything done without a congress.

Observe the difference in style between the two parties. McConnell, certainly no spring chicken himself, is always confrontational. When he ran the House, Paul Ryan was as well. Trump takes that to the outer limit. All three are admired, and attract more followers than they repel -- and that with a platform that is toxic to the max. Dems universally come across as sympathetic but weak. These days, weak is a deal breaker.

Eric Wrote:Millennials proved that they could come out during midterms in 2018. Obama's urging helped. Whether that happens in 2022 is still in question. Rising enthusiasm and the dead heat now in the polls shows it is possible.

Assuming that they are as scared now as they were then, you might have a point. My fear: they see nothing in the Dems and decide to just sit this one out. There is no way to know just how savvy they are as a generation. Sometimes they seem on top of the game, and other times they seem almost child like. If they fail to understand the long term risk of short term actions, this could get very ugly.

Eric Wrote:Hogan said he believes in a Republican Party like Reagan's. That is too far right for a Democrat to add to a ticket.

I don't see Hogan entering, but note: he's a doer not a talker. When Maryland needed masks and PPE in the early days of the pandemic, he and his Korean wife contacted the Korean government and asked for help. They got an entire charter flight full of masks and other personal protection -- in two days. Forget his philosophy and concentrate on him as an executor.