08-28-2022, 01:57 PM
(08-27-2022, 08:29 PM)sbarrera Wrote: I watched the video. Zeihan paints a dark picture of the world post-globalization/free trade. China could lose 500 million people?? The U.S. must stop Russia in Ukraine to avoid nuclear escalation?? Eep.
I didn't expect it but the interviewers mention Strauss-Howe theory toward the end, though Zeihan brushes it off. It's too bad, because he is talking about the end of globalization and the end of financialization which is exactly what The Fourth Turning predicts.
I've seen posts/interviews from him before but haven't read his books, though I do have "The Accidental Superpower" on my list. I will get to it hopefully before too long.
It should be obvious that globalization cannot end, and will keep growing. It is nationalism that is obsolete. The world federation is the future, but not yet at the end of this 4T. Next saeculum, circa 2165. To say that the fourth turning predicts the end of financialization seems way beyond possibility.
It is neoliberalism that needs to end; Reaganomics needs to go. Neoliberalism is what is wrong with those two trends. The ONLY thing wrong with them. And tyranny is a current trend too that needs to be reversed, of which Putin is the chief promoter and actor. He needs to go, along with the other tyrants. But how much is accomplished about this in the fourth turning is in question.
I see China as undergoing change in the mid-2030s. We'll see what happens.
Meanwhile reversing the trend toward destruction of our climate is job one of THIS fourth turning. Our survival depends on this, which is why it is the crisis of this 4T. Neoliberalism is the chief culprit in this, and has to end. Reagan was wrong! Government is part of the solution; not the problem!
http://philosopherswheel.com/freemarket.html