11-11-2022, 02:19 PM
(This post was last modified: 11-12-2022, 01:59 AM by Eric the Green.)
In latest returns, Kelly is holding up at 6% in AZ, and Hobbs is holding on to a slight lead for governor over Lake
In Nevada, Cortez Masto, the Democrat is catching up to Trump-backed Laxalt. It depends on how many votes are really left, and how blue they really are. Right now Laxalt still looks like the winner by about 5000 votes.
UPDATE More results just came in, mostly from Clark County (Las Vegas), and Cortez-Masto is only behind Laxalt by about 800 votes now. The margin has been 9000 before.
Laxalt can expect about 300 more from Republican Douglas County and Carson City, south of Reno. Washoe County with Reno was trending slightly blue, but no more results came in from there in this update. 22,000 votes left to count here, is the estimate from the county. Perhaps they are from Reno itself which could favor Cortez. There may be more to come in from Las Vegas; the estimated vote yet to be counted now just says greater than 95%, which just means NY Times does not know. PBS tonight said 50,000 ballots were out, so based on my memory of how many were counted before, there could be as many as 15-20,000 ballots yet to count which considering her 7% lead there means Cortez might get about 1100-1200 more votes out of Las Vegas. So it seems the margin could end up razor thin.
The strict-conservative but ethical Republican candidate Sheriff Lombardo for NV governor seems still ahead and likely to win (UPDATE, Republican declared the winner), but it looks like the Democrat Adrian Fontes who is now leading narrowly will win the Secretary of State office to keep out a Trumpist election denier (UPDATE, Fontes declared the winner). Most other state offices are staying closely Democratic, and so is the legislature with 1 possible flip to Republican in both the Nevada state Senate and Assembly, by current very narrow margins.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/11/politics/...index.html
Current trend in US House are for Republicans to get 221 and Democrats 214. Some margins are narrow and about 4 or 5 could still change leads from R to D. Most uncalled races are in California. Comebacks for Democrats are not out of the question; one Maryland district's Democrat came back and won today.
We are watching several key close House races now. If these 4 come back from current Republican leads, and no others elsewhere slip into a Republican win, the Democrats could control the House by one vote.
A battle of farmers in the CA central valley gives the Republican an 84-vote lead. Moderate Democrat Adam Gray seems to be catching up to John Duarte. 61% reported.
Young rising star Will Rollins, who would have a great score were he in a position to run for president someday, had an early lead but is now 1.2 point behind the old Trumpist Republican Ken Calvert in this district east of LA, with only 58% reported.
In Oregon's Salem-area district, a more progressive Democrat primaried out the most moderate House Democrat, but is having trouble securing the win. There may be more Democratic areas still out here, judging by how much has been reported in various counties in the OR senate race. The new district added some voters from the Portland-area county. Right now the Republican has a 2% 6800 vote lead, with 84% of the NY Times estimated vote counted. Only 70% has been counted in Multnomah County (Portland area).
Boebert has not won her Colorado seat yet, but has a 1100 vote lead; ballots outstanding unknown.
Another close race is in AZ. Democract Kirsten Engle is 1 point behind with 83% reporting in a district that stretches east from part of Tuscon.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022...house.html
In Nevada, Cortez Masto, the Democrat is catching up to Trump-backed Laxalt. It depends on how many votes are really left, and how blue they really are. Right now Laxalt still looks like the winner by about 5000 votes.
UPDATE More results just came in, mostly from Clark County (Las Vegas), and Cortez-Masto is only behind Laxalt by about 800 votes now. The margin has been 9000 before.
Laxalt can expect about 300 more from Republican Douglas County and Carson City, south of Reno. Washoe County with Reno was trending slightly blue, but no more results came in from there in this update. 22,000 votes left to count here, is the estimate from the county. Perhaps they are from Reno itself which could favor Cortez. There may be more to come in from Las Vegas; the estimated vote yet to be counted now just says greater than 95%, which just means NY Times does not know. PBS tonight said 50,000 ballots were out, so based on my memory of how many were counted before, there could be as many as 15-20,000 ballots yet to count which considering her 7% lead there means Cortez might get about 1100-1200 more votes out of Las Vegas. So it seems the margin could end up razor thin.
The strict-conservative but ethical Republican candidate Sheriff Lombardo for NV governor seems still ahead and likely to win (UPDATE, Republican declared the winner), but it looks like the Democrat Adrian Fontes who is now leading narrowly will win the Secretary of State office to keep out a Trumpist election denier (UPDATE, Fontes declared the winner). Most other state offices are staying closely Democratic, and so is the legislature with 1 possible flip to Republican in both the Nevada state Senate and Assembly, by current very narrow margins.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/11/politics/...index.html
Current trend in US House are for Republicans to get 221 and Democrats 214. Some margins are narrow and about 4 or 5 could still change leads from R to D. Most uncalled races are in California. Comebacks for Democrats are not out of the question; one Maryland district's Democrat came back and won today.
We are watching several key close House races now. If these 4 come back from current Republican leads, and no others elsewhere slip into a Republican win, the Democrats could control the House by one vote.
A battle of farmers in the CA central valley gives the Republican an 84-vote lead. Moderate Democrat Adam Gray seems to be catching up to John Duarte. 61% reported.
Young rising star Will Rollins, who would have a great score were he in a position to run for president someday, had an early lead but is now 1.2 point behind the old Trumpist Republican Ken Calvert in this district east of LA, with only 58% reported.
In Oregon's Salem-area district, a more progressive Democrat primaried out the most moderate House Democrat, but is having trouble securing the win. There may be more Democratic areas still out here, judging by how much has been reported in various counties in the OR senate race. The new district added some voters from the Portland-area county. Right now the Republican has a 2% 6800 vote lead, with 84% of the NY Times estimated vote counted. Only 70% has been counted in Multnomah County (Portland area).
Boebert has not won her Colorado seat yet, but has a 1100 vote lead; ballots outstanding unknown.
Another close race is in AZ. Democract Kirsten Engle is 1 point behind with 83% reporting in a district that stretches east from part of Tuscon.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022...house.html