01-15-2023, 09:00 AM
(01-14-2023, 05:02 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: Seven standard deviations is roughly one in 390 billion. I suspect that as the average age at death rises, the standard deviations of ages at death also shrink. Unless there is some means of slowing aging or allowing more divisions of cells in a lifetime (that seems to be the real cause of aging, with more cell divisions typically manifesting themselves as cancer), I would doubt that anyone now born will be around in the 2170's.
How long ago was 150 years? Charles Ives, Sergei Rachmaninov, and Sir Winston Churchill were born in 1874. Some of us can remember when Churchill was still alive, but that is stretching things.
We are learning how to fix errant DNA, and that will be the key. Believe me, I have no interest in being that old, or anything close to it. That may not be the case for a current 4-year old with enhanced DNA and great health when (s)he is 100.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.