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This is how realignments happen
#14
2020 will be a realigning election should Donald Trump win in 2016, or else it will be as empty an election as those held in Commie states. His demagoguery will ensure that many who will have voted for him in 2016 -- and he will remain in contempt to practically everyone who voted against him in 2016. At the best one will have Jimmy Carter without the integrity and moral compass. Whoops -- except for integrity and moral compass, Jimmy Carter was a dreadful President! Donald Trump will be unable to win a free and fair election in 2020, in which such a word as "realigning" will follow either a military coup, a revolution, or a catastrophic military defeat. By catastrophic military defeat I mean one after which Atlanta has an impressive Carnival (like Rio), in which Japanese becomes a mandatory language of instruction in Seattle, or in which Canadian elections matter greatly in Grand Rapids and Lansing because Michigan has become a province of Canada.

Should there be another free election, then count on the next Democratic nominee to bring up nostalgia about the steady hand in foreign policy of Barack Obama and his astute stewardship of the economy. Yes -- we can do it again!

Donald Trump will push many Southern whites to what they were in 1976 or 1992 -- capable of voting for moderates. They will be able to vote for blacks who imitate Barack Obama (good model for whites, too!) Donald Trump will have discredited the American Right. Republicans who got too cozy to him will be burned badly. The Senate, which Republicans will have held since 2015 and the House, will then go Democratic. Whether the House goes Democratic after the 2018 or 2020 elections will be very much in question.

There is another possibility -- dictatorial as Donald Trump is and as authoritarian as the Republican Party is, it might choose to rig the election by such a piece of electoral chicanery as mandating that people vote as their employers 'request'... in which case the United States of America has become a fascist Evil Empire and elections are as free as they were in the old Soviet Union. But consider that by then America might have some Wars for Profit (like invading Venezuela to seize its oil) will be going badly. Figure that all alliances that America has will have disintegrated. Consider all the dangerous enemies that the USA could have. A hint: Japan kicked American a$$ for a few months, and lost because it was an Evil Empire.

Long before the first term of Donald Trump is over America will have much civil unrest. We will see lots of images of Donald Trump with unflattering facial hair taken from such characters as... well, I can think of three obvious candidates. You might see him in a red suit -- and I don't mean Santa Claus.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist  but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.


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Messages In This Thread
This is how realignments happen - by Dan '82 - 09-14-2016, 08:27 PM
RE: This is how realignments happen - by pbrower2a - 09-16-2016, 10:40 AM

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