I’m sure this has been discussed plenty on this forum but it seems obvious to me that aging demographics must play a role in the length of turnings.
Median aged American in 1970 was 28.1 years of age. In 2022 the median age was 38.8. Over TEN years older. Wouldn’t we expect the length of turnings to extend considerably in this regard? Perhaps the fourth turning started closer to 2020 with Covid19 than 2008’s financial crisis. Instead of each saeculum being 84 years perhaps it’s now closer to 94 years? The last fourth turning started around 1929 which added with 94 would put us at this year 2023. Far closer to covid19 than 2008.
Median aged American in 1970 was 28.1 years of age. In 2022 the median age was 38.8. Over TEN years older. Wouldn’t we expect the length of turnings to extend considerably in this regard? Perhaps the fourth turning started closer to 2020 with Covid19 than 2008’s financial crisis. Instead of each saeculum being 84 years perhaps it’s now closer to 94 years? The last fourth turning started around 1929 which added with 94 would put us at this year 2023. Far closer to covid19 than 2008.