The Partisan Divide on Issues

[pbrower2a]

(05-20-2020, 10:21 PM)Kinser79 Wrote:

(05-19-2020, 10:13 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:

(05-19-2020, 09:01 PM)Kinser79 Wrote: Lets see:  Small government....Reduced taxes....military preparedness.  Sounds like "Reaganism" is just good ole fashioned "Americanism".  Now if we could get that with side of isolationism and a sprinkle of autarky mixed in that would be prefect.  

All that said I'm going to be mining liberal salt come November 3rd I'm sure.

Actually, isolationism used to mean demilitarizing after every conflict.  A minimum skeleton military.  This was part of why crisis wars took typically four years or so.  We had to rebuild our military virtually from scratch, and relearn the business of war.  There was a scramble to rearm as conflicts like the Civil War and World War II came up.  Peacetime preparedness and the world's policeman role really started after World War II.

Of course abandoning preparedness now would be abandoning the field to the autocracies.  And dictators always were un American until recently.  Not surprising that you would endorse that, though.  You always have supported the elites over the people.

Someone will be mining salt, certainly.  I think with the polls favoring those supporting a more scientific response to the virus, it will become clear pretty early who that will be.

Remember the polls said Hillary would be President too.  

I personally don't care what this or that poll says outside of it being aggregated which I typically have to do myself anyway, since the legacy media can't be trusted to do it.

I find it amusing that the boomers here seem to be clueless as to what I mean by mining salt.

President Trump needs miracles to win re-election. A few things are different. 

First, he has a record as President. That could be used against him. Polls of approval look very bad for him. 

Sure, you can always deliver the bromide "the only poll that counts is the one on Election Day". The problem is that the decisions that most people have on whether to vote for or against someone are made earlier upon a summation of deeds and statements. 

Second, in a close election, how a state votes may be a matter of chance according to most models. So let us suppose that the seven closest states in November are 
Florida (29)
Pennsylvania (20)
Michigan (16)
North Carolina (15)
Arizona (11)
Wisconsin (10)

and each has a 50% chance of going either way. Trump needs four; Biden needs three. 

 Biden has 99 chances of winning and Trump has 64. Chances for a Biden win are about 60.7%; chances for a Trump win are  39.3%. 

Guess what? Everybody has a chance to be right and to be wrong.