02-22-2019, 03:08 PM
(02-22-2019, 12:33 PM)Bill the Piper Wrote: I doubt Russia could be a rising power again, they are declining demographically and economically. In 2030, Ethiopia is scheduled to have more population than Russia! Also, compare the territory they held in 1989 and now. Their former satellites (Poland, the Baltics, even ethnically Slavic Ukraine) now hate them.
A new world order of regional hegemonies is more likely. China would dominate Asia, the US - the Americas (although Brazil is on the rise), Germany and France - Europe, Saudis and Iran could divide the Middle East into spheres of influence. Israel will probably be more and more isolated, like apartheid South Africa was.
Seems right, for the moment. And these regional hegemons will have the reckon with each other and work together, and recognize the importance of smaller powers too.