09-16-2016, 10:09 AM
2016 will not be a realigning election. At the absolute most, half a dozen states will switch parties in the Electoral College - and some of them might simply revert from the Obama pattern to the George W. Bush pattern.
2020 offers much better odds: Increasing numbers of Latino voters will put Arizona and perhaps other states in realistic play - or, if it destined to be a Republican-favoring realignment; say, if there is another major terrorist attack in New York City, it could put New York, New Jersey and Connecticut on the table; and if Trump's Malthusian populism has taken over the GOP on a permanent basis, that could turn Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin red.
And with an eye on Eric The Green, there will be both a Jupiter-Saturn conjunction and a perihelion/opposition of Mars and the Sun in 2020.
The last time both happened in the same year? 1860.
2020 offers much better odds: Increasing numbers of Latino voters will put Arizona and perhaps other states in realistic play - or, if it destined to be a Republican-favoring realignment; say, if there is another major terrorist attack in New York City, it could put New York, New Jersey and Connecticut on the table; and if Trump's Malthusian populism has taken over the GOP on a permanent basis, that could turn Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin red.
And with an eye on Eric The Green, there will be both a Jupiter-Saturn conjunction and a perihelion/opposition of Mars and the Sun in 2020.
The last time both happened in the same year? 1860.
"These, and many other matters which might be noticed, add a volume of unofficial declarations to the mass of organic utterances that this is a Christian nation" - Justice David Brewer, Church of the Holy Trinity v. United States, 1892