When did the current 4T begin?

[Eric the Green]

(02-25-2020, 02:35 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(02-25-2020, 12:38 AM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(12-12-2019, 12:22 PM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: I find it hard to project in any detail even as far as the next 2T.

Going by the rhythms of history (as I have posted before):

1.  Next turning is 1T.  I think that at best this will be a weak 1T.  Millies may end up in a Hard Artist role, and if so their endowments may resemble the Progressives.  At this point I doubt that Xers will resemble Gilded.

2.  Next 2T.  The double rhythm suggests that this will be Apollo type.

3.  Next 3T.

4.  Projected Crisis of 2100.  

5.  1T in early 22nd century.

6.  22nd century 2T.  Double rhythm suggests this will Dionysus type.

The Xers already have resembled the Gilded in many ways. Both are considered nomads, even though the Gilded had civic traits too especially before and during the civil war. There won't be any hybrid generations this time, because that effect was caused by the speeding up of the saeculum as the industrial/democratic age got going. But the next 1T could be less calm and conformist and more activist than the 1950s, with lingering resentments much like the Gilded Age 1T after the civil war.

That list could be right, but the difference between Apollo and Dionysian types of 2Ts is slight.

I'm with Mike Alexander on this one.  The so-called anomaly is really a case of missed boundary markers.  The Transcendentals may be the most dynamic US Prophet generation to date, but their cohort length is not.  The same is true of the Compromisers and making a few adjustments: viola, the anomaly disappears.  The Heroic Generation was truncated, but not nonexistent.

Yes I more or less agree, and was probably the first to say so, many years ago.