Open By Easter

[David Horn]

(03-25-2020, 09:47 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote:

(03-25-2020, 07:48 PM)TheNomad Wrote: Does no one see an argument for at least saying hopefully that we will be back by Easter?

Not me.  You have to beat this one down to nearly nothing before releasing the isolation.  Even then there will have to be some sort of monitoring to send isolated hot spots back into full isolation.  I know of no planning for what happens when they do reach nearly nothing.  I would watch the smart thermometers for the occasional outbreak, set up a network of so many people who volunteer to take their temperature with a networked thermometer once a day, and figure out how to isolate hot spots.

But it may be that we have to wait until a vaccination can be developed, and that is at least a year out.

The current thinking seems to be that we will see-saw our way out of this.  It's sad that the economy has to get a boost at the expense of human health, but count on it.  We don't have enough survival cases to create a herd immunity, and it's unlikely we will.  Eventually, there will be a vaccine -- eventually.

Easter is totally out of the question, as you noted.  Independence Day may be a candidate for the first easing, with Labor Day closing things down again.  Of course,, that assumes that the virus is sensitive to heat and humidity.