01-28-2017, 07:24 PM
(01-28-2017, 07:20 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:(01-28-2017, 01:07 PM)SomeGuy Wrote: Eric,
Could be, or could be a violent left-wing (well, really at this point more of an ethnic rather than ideological faction) uprising to a re-elected Trump (another Electoral College win/Popular vote loss?). It's a possibility, as is a foreign conflict coinciding with an internal revolt of some sort. A collapse in America's geopolitical position due to an internal conflict of some sort in the 2020s, setting the stage for the victor of the same to try and contest (or not) the new order in the 2030s or 2040s? Also a possibility.
Distinctly possible, and predicted as possible by me already.
Although the left is definitely ideological, it has taken a social-justice slant big time because of who the major party nominees were in 2016 and who is president now. But I don't see an out-of-power violent left wing revolution as likely to succeed in the USA. The resistance to Trump is on, but it's mostly non-violent, and whether it can depose Trump before 2020 or even 2024 depends largely on Trump's own behavior. So I think an unsuccessful right-wing violent revolt against a left government that succeeds Trump is more likely, especially since the right-wing is focused on keeping their guns and thus is more-violent. And again, not until 2025-26.
And one side or another seceding is distinctly possible. William Strauss posted here long ago that the borders of the USA after this 4T might not be the same as before it. This prediction of mine dates back 4 decades. I don't say I am certain of it, but what I predicted is that people might be proposing it. This was unthinkable back in the 20th century. Now, it's not.
Oh, there's plenty of violence on the left, too. But we are in agreement that both are possibilities for which one could draw plausible scenarios. The question is indeed how the next 4 years go.