07-27-2017, 11:43 AM
(07-26-2017, 07:14 PM)Kinser79 Wrote:(07-26-2017, 04:54 PM)David Horn Wrote: My money is on a transformation of the economy, with the neo-Prophets working to tear down the capitalist system, but not quite up to setting its replacement in place. That will be the work of the next Civics ... and nothing any of us will get the opportunity to witness.
People have been plotting and planning for the overthrow of the capitalist system since at least 1848. It hasn't happened yet, and is unlikely to unless a post scarcity economy develops, which is possible, it just requires an essentially free nearly limitless energy source(s) to pull off.
Needless to say I don't foresee that happening.
From my POV, I see both happening within the next several decades. Autonomous machines are already a reality, and ones that create others will make production work a dead issue. Energy is already moving toward the slightly-less-than-infinite paradigm, and fusion will complete the process, probably by the 2070s or so. But long before we get to that point, there will already be a huge excess in idle human capital, as they call wage slaves in the capitalist world. Unlike machines that never bitch, some serious blowback can be expected from the sidelined many. It's already happening.
I would love see those "interesting times", but I'm already 70. Millies and Homies will still be around, as will a bunch of old fossilized Xers. Feel free to live long enough to be one of them. If I could, I certainly would.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.