The Partisan Divide on Issues

[Cynic Hero '86]

(02-07-2020, 12:23 AM)Classic-Xer Wrote: In your opinion, does Romney represent the last of the politicians related to the old "gentleman's agreement" as it pertains to the GOP. Would you say that the GOP has control over us or would you say that  we have control over it these days?

Romney and the Bushes, etc would eventually go to their new home in the Rump DNC. Currently there is much more popular control of the RNC (GOP elites conceded that Trump won the primary in 2016 and later the election). The DNC elites are currently actively sabotaging populists in their party thus the likelyhood that there would be a complete party Collapse becomes more likely by the day. The Current DNC probably won't exist after the current election cycle, if they continue on the course they have been so far regarding the primary and the eventual general election in November.

Regarding the election itself, Trump is increasingly likely to win by a sizable margin. While I don't think the outcome is completely set in stone yet (who wins the primary would be a major factor). We should know the likely outcome of the 2020 election by August. The outcome would be determined quite awhile before November, and probably a Trump win. The only chance of a typical close election where we find out who the winner is on election day night; would be in the currently unlikely event if the DNC concedes the bankruptcy of its current policies and allows one of the populist candidates be the nominee. A populist winning the primary would be an interesting conjecture because the election would be based on debating prospective policy options and proposals, but the current DNC would probably not allow this scenario the occur. More likely the DNC force feeds a candidate who plays on identity issues and being some kind of "first" candidate leading to A Trump Win than can be called as early as the beginning of August.