The Partisan Divide on Issues

[Eric the Green]

(08-09-2020, 04:39 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(08-09-2020, 12:58 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(08-09-2020, 10:32 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(08-09-2020, 07:39 AM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote: The AP has protesters breaking into the police union building and setting it on fire.  

So much for peaceful protest?

If they find that the 'protestors' are really members of the actual protest, then Trump just got handed campaign material beyond his dreams.  If, on the other hand, they determine that the 'protestors' are outside agitators, the opposite occurs.  I assume that both the authorities and the protest leaders are working this very hard.

Possibly so. According to Lichtman, though, such "social unrest" reflects badly on the incumbent party.

If LBJ ('68) is the model, then that's certainly true.  If it's Nixon ('72), then why did he get reelected in a landslide?

I don't know if the social unrest key was turned against Nixon in 1972. Demonstrations and riots pretty much died down a year or two before that. But even if so, Nixon probably had enough Keys in his favor. Watergate had not erupted yet, so he didn't have the scandal key against him yet. That was turned against the Republicans for the 1976 election in which they were turned out of office.

I just reviewed the Lichtman Keys for 1972 here:
http://generational-theory.com/forum/thr...l#pid55919