The Partisan Divide on Issues

[Eric the Green]

(01-19-2022, 01:39 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(01-18-2022, 02:01 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Who will conquer and transform the USA, the way the USA and The West conquered and transformed Japan and Germany?

Not who but what.  AGW cares not a whit about our politics, and will finally make ignoring it impossible at some point.  I doubt it will take 18 years to get there.

Eric Wrote:Remember, if we have a 2T it will only begin in the late 2040s. Something will happen, but without a progressive 4T victory, it will just be an acceleration of destruction. The year 2040 will be more like 1960 or 1880, just not as happy or prosperous.

Assuming a failed 4T, the next 2T may look more 4T-like than a typical activist-inspirational 2T.  Since it's hih=hly unlikely I'll be a round to see more than opening salvos, playing Casandra is pretty risk-free for me.    

But AGW can't rescue the USA like the USA rescued Japan and Germany after their failed 4T. They would not have had a 2T later otherwise; that was the point.

Ignoring it certainly seems possible for the USA, if not for many others, but that is only because the USA people have become so oblivious to reality and the true dangers we face. We have too many Classic Xers among us. 

I don't think we will get beyond this decade without being irreparably damaged by global warming. If we ignore it, then it will be too late after this decade for the USA to do anything about it. The USA does nothing about anything during first turnings. It can only continue what has already been started. After then, the tipping points will have already been reached by the time the next 2T comes in circa 2047. We might be around for those days, or maybe we won't be. The disaster itself might not have reached it peak, which may come decades or centuries later. By then of course there will be nothing to do for the few survivors but to play survivalist. It's easy for us to hand our unwillingness to fulfill our proper role as prophets off to the next ones, but it's not a workable approach. The whole cycle will be over.