4T is Speeding Along Now

[beechnut79]

(02-11-2020, 12:21 AM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(02-10-2020, 03:00 PM)David Horn Wrote:

(02-10-2020, 11:29 AM)beechnut79 Wrote:

(02-10-2020, 09:24 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(02-10-2020, 05:24 AM)Snowflake1996 Wrote: I don’t believe that Democrats would rally behind someone going into Super Tuesday who not only failed to win any state prior but didn’t even come close to winning any.

His poll numbers will drop once the first four contests are decided and he will underperform considerably when Super Tuesday comes.

I wouldn't bet on that.  I think Sanders does well on Super Tuesday regarless, but a Mike Bloomberg can easily emerge if there is no other alternative in the so-called moderate lane.  I'm doubtful that Biden can recover, Buttigieg is still too young, and that leaves Amy Klobuchar or a true dark horse.

Just as Jimmy Carter was a dark horse in 1976?

To be honest, I can't see one except Michael Bennet, and I can't see him after NH.  The lily-white front loading of the primary season has already deep-sixed all the candidates of color, except for Andrew Yang, so diverse states won' be able to balance the books.

It just shows that diversity can't come into an election just because we might want it. Non-white candidates will never be successful just because they are not white. Or non-male either for that matter. Non-white/female candidates have to be good candidates to be successful, just like the white male ones. Or better yet, even better than the white male ones. Obama was. Harris and Booker were never going to be successful candidates. Patrick lost his footing in the race because of a late start.

A dark horse has to be someone with outstanding ability as a candidate, like Polk (the original dark horse, score 22-2) or Obama (19-2), but who somehow hasn't caught fire yet. There are no such candidates running. Only if Mitch Landrieu suddenly jumped in could a dark horse emerge at this point. Even then, it's probably way, way too late in our system as it stands today. Of the three now below the radar, but still running, Bennet is the least-likely dark horse.

Another classic example of a dark horse is Lori Lightfoot, who was just a casual mention in a crowded field for the Chicago mayor’s race and eventually triumphed over many better known candidates to become the city’s third African-American, second female and first openly gay mayor in the city’s history.