Kinser --
As you know I follow the polls closely. Pennsylvania so far looks like the state most likely to contain the 269th and 270th electoral votes (269 or fewer electoral votes sends the election to the House of Representatives) for the winning candidate for President in 2020 as it did in 2016.
A poll of Pennsylvania shows how certain demographic groups go for the President in Pennsylvania.
![[Image: trump_approval_rating_in_pennsylvania_ap...t-560w.png]](https://media3.s-nbcnews.com/j/newscms/2018_34/2541811/trump_approval_rating_in_pennsylvania_approval_chartbuilder_c2d14b2507cdfd01dd52545fcb598aca.fit-560w.png)
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-r...fs-n903251
Note the 2% support (as approval) that African-Americans give to the President.
Even white people with no college degree, a critical constituency for Donald Trump, falls short of giving this dreadful President a majority of approval. The only two demographics that support him decisively (50% or more) are "Conservatives" and "Republicans".
To be sure, disapproval and voting against are not quite the same thing, but -- you are not going to win a state in which approval is in the low 30s.
As you know I follow the polls closely. Pennsylvania so far looks like the state most likely to contain the 269th and 270th electoral votes (269 or fewer electoral votes sends the election to the House of Representatives) for the winning candidate for President in 2020 as it did in 2016.
A poll of Pennsylvania shows how certain demographic groups go for the President in Pennsylvania.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-r...fs-n903251
Note the 2% support (as approval) that African-Americans give to the President.
Even white people with no college degree, a critical constituency for Donald Trump, falls short of giving this dreadful President a majority of approval. The only two demographics that support him decisively (50% or more) are "Conservatives" and "Republicans".
To be sure, disapproval and voting against are not quite the same thing, but -- you are not going to win a state in which approval is in the low 30s.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.