11-17-2019, 09:18 PM
(11-17-2019, 09:52 AM)sbarrera Wrote:(11-08-2019, 09:36 PM)pbrower2a Wrote:(11-08-2019, 01:53 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: Greater longevity of Silents is preventing the crisis war from starting, drawing out the prewar crisis period. That won't change much. Enough boomers are living longer to be able to be in charge for the war. Gen X will still be there to turn Boomer concepts into practical execution. More and more Millenial footsoldiers will accumulate until the crisis war comes and draws the dividing line between Millenials and new adaptives.
The only issue is if expensive telomerase therapies actually work and cause rich Silents to live indefinitely. Then we'll live in an indefinite crisis. Oh joy.
On the other hand, another Adaptive generation will define itself after the Crisis is over. I can easily see this Crisis Era coming to an end, and it will end swiftly with the establishment of rigid norms that people break at risk of contempt, failure, or at least frustration. <...
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We're already at this point, with the way that misogyny, racism and homophobia are punished on social media. Even a hint of wrongdoing can ruin a person's life.
The social media know that they must sanitize themselves if parents are to allow kids access to specific outlets. Obviously the bilge that emanates from the President is a great national shame... but you can count on this: the potty-mouth shock-jock so much a part of the 3T and 4T is on the fade. Will there be a replacement for Rush Limbaugh similarly rude and offensive? Not if one wants a teen audience that can grow up with him (or her). Teen audiences will be important in a prosperous 1T as revenue sources for performers.
There will be much that parents will want to shield their kids from, not all of it profanity, misogyny, pornography, and extremism. Bumping and grinding in popular music might have been tolerated among blacks (but not whites!) in popular music in the 1950's -- but we can reasonably certain to reject that double standard by rejecting it for all. The black bourgeoisie is much larger now than it was in the 1940's, and it will protect its children as ferociously as any other segment of the population. Bumping and grinding will not be on media accessible to teens. The Lost and GI's were not going to let mass culture be a revival of the burlesque show that they might have remembered. Juvenile delinquency will be an anathema in all subcultures except in families involved in organized crime. Parents might want to shield their kids from young-earth creationism, the Gospel of Wealth, and anti-vaxxer crankery as well as against neo-Nazism, Communism, Ku Kluxism, and Islamofascism. Nobody wants his kids going to prison or even being shut out from the world of prosperous consumerism. If the late George Carlin could have a spoof of "Seven Words That You Cannot Say On the Radio" that defangs them by taking them out of context, then there will be words that we will be unable to put on the Web. Rhyming words will include trigger, bike, pink, snap, and spook.
Americans will even expect lesser violence in sports -- even in American football. Thug behavior will lead to suspensions. If one plays hockey (which will be less lily-white) one will not get a career as an "enforcer". The basketball play of Shaquille O'Neill on defense in which he situates him in a position to attack anyone who tries to make a lay-up will be no more. I expect the rules about throwing pitches at a batter's head in baseball to go from "no harm, no foul" (the batter ducks, the catcher catches the ball, and it is only a ball) to something that can hurt the pitcher's team even if the batter is not hit. (My suggestion: any runner on base gets to advance one base on a wild pitch, and if nobody is on base, then the batter gets sent to second base. The batter forfeits such if he charges the mound, also a dangerous deed).
The 1T will be prissy compared to what preceded and what will follow. There will be no problems with technology as such as seven-story buildings (in Kansas City in 1907), telephones, "twenty gas buggies goin' by theirselves", and enclosed toilets in 1907 as "Will Parker" introduced them to a rapt audience in Oklahoma!
The "Burly-Queue" so much a part of American life in 1907 (near a cusp between a 2T and a 3T) did not get a revival in the last 1T, and its equivalent circa 1985 (the so-called "Gentleman's Club" or "Nudie Bar") won't. If they aren't shut down for 'morals' charges, then they will be marginalized.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.