11-11-2016, 10:58 AM
The Islamic State is only a local power, though. If they truly expanded to central control of franchises throughout the Islamic world - and let's recall that goes as far as Indonesia - maybe. Trump would have to do a great job of leaving them alone to expand first, which would take - possibly more than 8 years.
Another possibility is that some time in his second term Russia pushes him too far in what he views as a betrayal.
Or the rest of the world could come up with a war we could intervene in. I think that's the most likely alternative to civil war.
Although, if the left continues supporting the antidemocracy protests as they get violent, it may yet be civil war. That would at least have the advantage that nuclear weapons probably wouldn't be used. Unless Washington state actually gets to the point of secession.
Another possibility is that some time in his second term Russia pushes him too far in what he views as a betrayal.
Or the rest of the world could come up with a war we could intervene in. I think that's the most likely alternative to civil war.
Although, if the left continues supporting the antidemocracy protests as they get violent, it may yet be civil war. That would at least have the advantage that nuclear weapons probably wouldn't be used. Unless Washington state actually gets to the point of secession.