11-19-2016, 04:01 PM
(11-19-2016, 02:00 PM)Dan Wrote: http://linkis.com/evonomics.com/yEWV1
Quote:Cliodynamics is a new “transdisciplinary discipline” that treats history as just another science. Ten years ago I started applying its tools to the society I live in: the United States. What I discovered alarmed me.
My research showed that about 40 seemingly disparate (but, according to cliodynamics, related) social indicators experienced turning points during the 1970s. Historically, such developments have served as leading indicators of political turmoil. My model indicated that social instability and political violence would peak in the 2020s (see Political Instability May be a Contributor in the Coming Decade...
http://linkis.com/evonomics.com/yEWV1
Seems like Turchin is still a newbie to the oracle business. Rule #1 of the business is: if your prediction is actually correct, there is nothing you can do to change it.