12-28-2016, 02:01 PM
(This post was last modified: 12-28-2016, 02:14 PM by SomeGuy.
Edit Reason: for clarity
)
Quote:Think ahead. At most, we are 30 years away from a world where almost all human-supplied work will be unnecessary. Automaton and AI will cross the line where the automatons are able to create more automatons with limited human interaction. At that point, the cost of human effort will be almost infinitely higher than that provided by machines. We need an economic model that still operates in that environment, or chaos will ensue.
Killing off the non-owners is a non-starter for obvious reasons.
I understand it is fashionable to say such things, but this claim has been made many times over the past 200 years and has yet to come to fruition. Did you actually take a look at the info I had posted earlier, showing that the top 3 countries by number of workers per 10,000 manufacturing workers (the US is 7) had twice the number of manufacturing workers as a percentage of the labor force than does the US today? The Luddites (the orginal ones, mind you) feared that textile machinery would put them out of work, and yet as the Industrial Revolution ground on the number of textile workers soared. I am presently employed writing automation scripts for data processing (ETL) and reporting, and yet every time I automate one task, the number of tasks soars. Take one report for one client that was previously generated once a month by hand, write a script for it, and pretty soon they want it once a week, and then daily, then other clients start clamoring for it, and the net amount of work I do remains much the same, even as the output grows.
Why the loud and emphatic insistence that this time is really different?