(01-24-2017, 04:07 PM)SomeGuy Wrote: I find the prospect of a nuclear first strike between two powers like China and the US to be implausible. Neither of their forces are on a hair-trigger alert, there is nothing like the Red Army poised to push through Western Europe to the sea within a few days right now, etc.. Seriously, detail me the scenario that leads directly from something like Taiwan to either country launching their missiles at the other in the full knowledge of a corresponding attack on their own facilities and populations, and explain to me why it would be the only outcome.
I agree. You were implying this, by pointing to 1914.