05-24-2020, 02:52 AM
Donald Trump: Handling of COVID-19:
In your opinion, has President Trump handled the coronavirus crisis well? (yes - no - don't know/no response)
Arizona 40-51-9
North Carolina 40-49-11
Florida 41-49-10
Pennsylvania 37-53-10
Michigan 37-53-10
Wisconsin 35-55-10
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/...ng-states/
This is a British pollster.
Because the Plague of 2010 is the big story of the Trump Administration, performance on COVID-19, this is a good proxy for overall approval. Even the erratic foreign policy, the President's expressions of bigotry, and "the economy" are now on the back burner due to COVID-19. If the economy stays in the tank, then such will have an indelible link to COVID-19.
This may be worse than the colors look because Trump approval in every one of these states is under 42%. The true tragedy of the Plague of 2020 has yet to hit many of us because unless we are medical personnel we rarely see people dying of it. People die of COVID-19 in private, unlike the case with something non-contagious such as cirrhosis, cancer, Parkinsonism, Alzheimer's, or congestive heart failure. In the last eight years I have seen seven people on the second-to-last or last days of their lives in knowledge that those people were dying. But all of those cases did not involve any contagious disease.
The full impact of COVID-19 will not affect people's thoughts until many of the funeral services delayed due to limited numbers of participants are held without such constraints. People will be asking to see death certificates
What is so bad about 41% approval? Late in May it is next to impossible to win re-election as an incumbent unless one already has 45% support by then. Trump might have gotten away with numbers like these in December or January, but as the season warms up, opinions typically fossilize in a contest of vision. Things can go terribly wrong with an incumbent -- a breaking scandal or an inept response to a natural disaster. COVID-19 is a natural disaster. Trump has been lucky until COVID-19 struck.
But high disapproval numbers are themselves trouble. 51% disapproval is the highest that I saw for Barack Obama in any state in 2011 or 2012 by a reputable pollster in any state that he eventually won in 2012. But even in that one (Quinnipiac, and I forget the details other than that it was still fairly close at 45-51 and rather early) was for Ohio, which was one of Obama's barest wins. Obama won a spirited and competent campaign, and (I forget the timing) he may have won Ohio over the dead body of Osama bin Laden.
I will spare the obvious metaphor about Donald Trump.
In your opinion, has President Trump handled the coronavirus crisis well? (yes - no - don't know/no response)
Arizona 40-51-9
North Carolina 40-49-11
Florida 41-49-10
Pennsylvania 37-53-10
Michigan 37-53-10
Wisconsin 35-55-10
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/...ng-states/
This is a British pollster.
Because the Plague of 2010 is the big story of the Trump Administration, performance on COVID-19, this is a good proxy for overall approval. Even the erratic foreign policy, the President's expressions of bigotry, and "the economy" are now on the back burner due to COVID-19. If the economy stays in the tank, then such will have an indelible link to COVID-19.
This may be worse than the colors look because Trump approval in every one of these states is under 42%. The true tragedy of the Plague of 2020 has yet to hit many of us because unless we are medical personnel we rarely see people dying of it. People die of COVID-19 in private, unlike the case with something non-contagious such as cirrhosis, cancer, Parkinsonism, Alzheimer's, or congestive heart failure. In the last eight years I have seen seven people on the second-to-last or last days of their lives in knowledge that those people were dying. But all of those cases did not involve any contagious disease.
The full impact of COVID-19 will not affect people's thoughts until many of the funeral services delayed due to limited numbers of participants are held without such constraints. People will be asking to see death certificates
What is so bad about 41% approval? Late in May it is next to impossible to win re-election as an incumbent unless one already has 45% support by then. Trump might have gotten away with numbers like these in December or January, but as the season warms up, opinions typically fossilize in a contest of vision. Things can go terribly wrong with an incumbent -- a breaking scandal or an inept response to a natural disaster. COVID-19 is a natural disaster. Trump has been lucky until COVID-19 struck.
But high disapproval numbers are themselves trouble. 51% disapproval is the highest that I saw for Barack Obama in any state in 2011 or 2012 by a reputable pollster in any state that he eventually won in 2012. But even in that one (Quinnipiac, and I forget the details other than that it was still fairly close at 45-51 and rather early) was for Ohio, which was one of Obama's barest wins. Obama won a spirited and competent campaign, and (I forget the timing) he may have won Ohio over the dead body of Osama bin Laden.
I will spare the obvious metaphor about Donald Trump.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.