03-20-2020, 07:25 AM
(This post was last modified: 03-20-2020, 10:41 AM by Bob Butler 54.)
(03-20-2020, 02:45 AM)Mickey123 Wrote:(03-16-2020, 05:56 PM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote: The CDC has H1N1 as 60 million cases in the US causing 12,469 deaths for a %0.02 death rate as opposed to a %2.0 guess for the recent virus. This could cause a very different level of panic. A quick look at the precautions issued by the CDC at the time does not include anything like the shutdowns we are seeing recently.
The death rate of coronavirus is not 2%. It is probably in the neighborhood of .5%, maybe less. The 2% figure is arrived at by only looking at the confirmed cases, instead of the total cases. Most cases are not confirmed, as we are barely testing anyone.
Yes, I used the word 'guess' because the number is so unreliable. I also note that the number got so high because the people of Wuhan in the early days did not know what they were up against and allowed their hospital system to become overwhelmed. As time passes and lessons are shared, the number keeps going down. Most countries are wise enough to implement the social distancing and isolation rules fairly early compared to Wuhan.
It is still much higher than the average flu, though.
That this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom, and that government of the people, by the people, for the people shall not perish from the earth.