Speaking of annoying habits, please stop adding new material to old posts while I am responding to them, or even worse, after I have responded to them.
Your assessment of the M & T cycle is flawed because you have no idea what they actually said! You have the Railroad industry peak in 1792, k-waves based on prices and not production figures, a hegemonic cycle ending in 1991, and an IT industry peaking in 1973. None of that is in "Leading Sectors and World Powers", which is the only reference for the M & T cycle. You are just making things up, cobbling together pieces of this and that into a homemade mashup, and borrowing the name and prestige of people who published a book that people actually read in order to give it credibility it wouldn't otherwise have. If you disagree with LS&WP, that's cool (it's not gospel), if you want to cite things from the book and discuss them, that's cool too, but please don't presume to lecture me on subject matter (LS&WP) you clearly have only a minimal grasp of.
EDIT
Please don't take this to mean that I don't think you should try and come up with your own theories. This would be the place to post them, and I have always enjoyed reading and discussing them. I just wish you would stop mixing them up with things that aren't yours.
Quote:In closure, your assessment of the M&T cycle is not based on consideration of any economic indicators (K-waves are economic) but simply on your subjective perception of global politics. You aren't really applying M&T because you equate preparation for top great power status on the part of China over the 1980's and 1990's as evidence of agenda-setting, while ignoring preparation for top great power status on the part of Russia in the 1920's and 1930's, because it doesn't fit the model. How does one count but not the other. M&T resolved this issue using empirical measures. You have provided none.
Your assessment of the M & T cycle is flawed because you have no idea what they actually said! You have the Railroad industry peak in 1792, k-waves based on prices and not production figures, a hegemonic cycle ending in 1991, and an IT industry peaking in 1973. None of that is in "Leading Sectors and World Powers", which is the only reference for the M & T cycle. You are just making things up, cobbling together pieces of this and that into a homemade mashup, and borrowing the name and prestige of people who published a book that people actually read in order to give it credibility it wouldn't otherwise have. If you disagree with LS&WP, that's cool (it's not gospel), if you want to cite things from the book and discuss them, that's cool too, but please don't presume to lecture me on subject matter (LS&WP) you clearly have only a minimal grasp of.
EDIT
Please don't take this to mean that I don't think you should try and come up with your own theories. This would be the place to post them, and I have always enjoyed reading and discussing them. I just wish you would stop mixing them up with things that aren't yours.