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  The astro-kondratiev cycle
Posted by: Eric the Green - 10-26-2016, 03:49 PM - Forum: Theories Of History - Replies (4)

I wonder what our resident Kondratiev expert thinks of this model. I hesitate to post it in the astrology section, since then Mr. Mikebert might not even see it Smile

[Image: astro-kondratieff_en.png]

http://www.astro.com/astrology/in_kondratiev_e.htm

How does an astrological Kondratiev Cycle look like if the findings of Nikolai Kondratiev are combined with the periodicity of Uranus-Pluto? The first Wave (steam engine) and the second Wave (railway) are identical. Also the third Wave starts synchronously around the year 1900. But it’s not limited to electro-technology and mass production. It also contains the areas of automotive, aviation and mass media that reached marketability in these years and also started an impressive boom. Extensive electrification in all areas, mass production with assembly lines, the first automotive companies, the first aviation enterprises and airship lines, the birth of aeroplanes and motorcycles, the first transatlantic radio transmission, the birth of radio, cinema and gramophone records as new mass media, all this emerged in the few years when Uranus in Sagittarius was opposing Pluto in Gemini.

This does not only confirm the Uranus-Pluto signature of technologically induced paradigm shifts. The position of this constellation in the zodiac also allows us to describe the morphology of this period. The axis of Gemini-Sagittarius represents motion and the intermediation between the small world of the near neighbourhood and the large world beyond the horizons. Pluto in Gemini transforms areas such as technics, communication, media, locomotion, trade, the functional and operational principle. In Gemini the massive, inert machinery of Pluto in Aries/Taurus (second Wave Mass Mobility) learns to run. It speeds up, swift and flexible, filigree and differentiated. Instead of the heavy machinery of the second Wave the new spearheads of technical progress are expeditious, rapid and versatile insect swarms of specialized technologies that sprawl in all directions across the globe and ramify into all areas of life. The material nerve tract of humanity spans like a giant rhizome around the whole earth sphere: power supply systems, road and airline networks, streams of consumer products and mass media, armadas of radio stations and cinemas. Uranus in Sagittarius defines the direction: into all horizons at the same time – the sky is no limit.

The Cycle of “Global Interconnection” (this leitmotif also includes “individual mobility” and “modern consumer society” as subthemes) reaches its climax at the beginning of the Uranus-Pluto square (1928 – 1937). A decade of global economic crisis and the emergence of fascistic dictatorships characterize these years and mark the turning point into the downswing period. In many countries the Second World War is followed by “economic miracles”, not based on new core technologies, but rather on post-war reconstruction. Finally, in the 1960s the zeitgeist is flooded again by radical innovations and a major paradigm shift.
The Fourth Astro-Kondratiev 1965 – 2045: Information


[Image: microprocessor.jpg]
The fundamental technology of the Fourth Astro-Kondratiev: The first microprocessor Intel 4004 6
Image: ©Creative Commons, Thomas Nguyen, Wikipedia


Exactly at the following Uranus-Pluto conjunction in Virgo (1961-1971) the next boost of innovation emerges. On one hand, the Cycle of “Global Interconnection” achieves its completion by man’s conquest of Outer Space: In 1961 the first cosmonaut enters Outer Space. In 1962 the era of civil communication satellites begins. Man’s expansion into space is crowned by the first manned moon landing 1969 and the first space station Salyut 1 in 1971. With these milestones global interconnection reaches its maximum expansion for the time being. In the vein of Gemini/Sagittarius the outer, material network of connections, traffic infrastructure and communication lines, is completed. The nerve tract of humanity has woven its net around the globe. From the 1960s the focus shifts more and more towards inner expansion. In the vein of Virgo the new core technologies are increasingly dedicated to the quality and quantity of the entities that rush through the global network. These entities become always smaller, faster, more differentiated, detailed and complex.

In the 1960s the core technologies of the new cycle emerge: the modern computer, the internet (back then as „Arpanet“), information technology, electronics and nanotechnology. What the steam engine was for the First Cycle, the microprocessor is for the Fourth Cycle. This new fundamental innovation reached marketability with the “Intel 4004” at the end of the Uranus-Pluto conjunction in 1971.
The leitmotif of the current Astro-Kondratiev is “Information“. And Virgo pulls all the registers to generate, analyse and exploit a maximum of information. Her character has been embedded in the zeitgeist since then: optimization, rationalization, perfection, differentiation, specialization, systemization, detail-orientation, miniaturization. As German astrologer Werner Held emphasizes, the current keywords of socio-structural change are typical for Virgo: the service society, the knowledge society, but also the security- and control society.7

Always more detailed, always more accurate, always more precise, always working, sorting, hedging, regulating. Virgo is the diligent troop of pioneers that restlessly extends the territories and living worlds of Leo, while forgetting to live herself. ADHD, multitasking, permanent information overload, surveillance mania and big data, legions of compliance managers that try to navigate their enterprises through the mushrooming jungles of new laws and regulations – now that we’re in the core period of the Uranus-Pluto square (2009 - 2018) the shadier sides of this cycle intensify. The Fourth Astro-Kondratiev has reached its climax.

[Image: astro-kondratieff_en.png]
The astrological Kondratiev Cycle by Dr. Christof Niederwieser

Looking Into The Future
The Astro-Kondratiev not only explains the major technical and social developments of the past centuries. It also allows for a concrete look into the future. What will come next after the Information Cycle has reached its climax? What socio-political implications can be expected in the forthcoming years? What current technical innovations might become the core technology of the Fifth Astro-Kondratiev that will start in the 2040s? In what larger pattern is the Astro-Kondratiev embedded and how can its morphology be described in more detail? These questions are highly significant for areas such as politics, corporate governance, strategic planning, innovation management and investments. Astrology can give some invaluable answers…

© Dr. Christof Niederwieser

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  Did Trump host cocaine-fueled underage sex parties for his rich Wall Street friends?
Posted by: Einzige - 10-25-2016, 01:15 AM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (1)

Two sources are accusing Trump of just that.


Inside Donald Trump?s One-Stop Parties: Attendees Recall Cocaine and Very Young Models - The Daily Beast

Quote:... The photographer says he attended Trump’s parties with one of the owners of the hair salon, Pierre Michel, that operated in both the Plaza and Trump Tower. The salon owner, Pierre Ouaknine, says his memories of those Plaza parties vanished after a recent surgery. But the photographer’s memories are crystal clear. Trump would take over “suites on the corners” of his hotel with views of Central Park and Grand Army Plaza, not to mention lots to look at inside, and wow his guests.

The attraction for the men “was young girls assuming they’d get somewhere” by joining the party, the photographer says, “Of course, it never happens.”

Young models were attracted to the fêtes with a simple, time-tested pitch. “You’ll meet rich guys who will help you,” says the photographer. “It was networking, but on a weird, bizarre scale.” 

The girls were as young as 15, he says, and “over their heads, they had no idea, and they ended up in situations. There were always dramas because the men threw money and drugs at them to keep them enticed. It’s based on power and dominating girls who can’t push back and can be discarded. There’s always someone to pick them back up. Nobody wants to call home and say ‘Help me.’” 

Trump would “go from room to room,” said the photographer, who added that “I was there to party myself. It was guys with younger girls, sex, a lot of sex, a lot of cocaine, top-shelf liquor” but no smoking. Trump didn’t approve of cigarettes. 

Those men at these parties often knew each other. “It’s a small community,” the photographer says. “They exchanged information, facilitated each other. Trump was in and out. He’d wander off with a couple girls. I saw him. He was getting laid like crazy. Trump was at the heart of it. He loved the attention and in private, he was a total ****ing beast.”

Trump himself nodded to the life when his own daughter began modeling, saying “I am only modestly in favor of this because I understand that that life is a very fast life, and at that age it is always a risky proposition.” He would know about that life.

Andy Lucchesi, the second man I spoke to, was and remains a male model. He was identified to me by a modeling executive as a frequent visitor to the Trump model salons. “I don’t want to get him in trouble,” Lucchesi says of Trump. “I like Donald. I respect the guy. People should want to know about Jeffrey Epstein and Bill Clinton,” referring to the billionaire pedophile who in fact palled around with both Clinton and Trump. I ask if he’s equating Trump’s parties with Epstein’s debauches. “Hell no,” Lucchesi says.

Lucchesi had been described to me by the modeling executive as an organizer of Trump’s parties, one of several who wrangled models to them. Asked about that description, Lucchesi says that “the parties weren’t like an organized once a week thing.”

But was he wrangling models for Trump? “A lot of people would say that,” Lucchesi allows, adding that he thought Trump’s motive was a desire to open a model agency of his own, which he eventually did.

Lucchesi’s recollection of the parties dovetails with the photographer’s account. “There was cocaine around. I never saw him do that. Donald Trump does not do cocaine. He’s in control of himself.”

Girls? “Well. Of course,” Lucchesi says. “But I never knew him as one of those guys buying apartments for girls from Estonia.” (Though he did marry a model from Slovenia.)

But did he have sex with his female party guests? “So, he’s a man with a woman,” Lucchesi says vaguely. How old were they? “A lot of girls, 14, look 24. That’s as juicy as I can get. I never asked how old they were; I just partook. I did partake in activities that would be controversial, too.”

Lucchesi adds that he’s glad nobody cares about what he did back then. “I had so much fun, my body is paying for it now.”

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  How Democrats Killed Their Populist Soul
Posted by: Dan '82 - 10-24-2016, 12:42 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (20)

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...ul/504710/


Quote:It was January 1975, and the Watergate Babies had arrived in Washington looking for blood. The Watergate Babies—as the recently elected Democratic congressmen were known—were young, idealistic liberals who had been swept into office on a promise to clean up government, end the war in Vietnam, and rid the nation’s capital of the kind of corruption and dirty politics the Nixon White House had wrought. Richard Nixon himself had resigned just a few months earlier in August. But the Watergate Babies didn’t just campaign against Nixon; they took on the Democratic establishment, too. Newly elected Representative George Miller of California, then just 29 years old, announced, “We came here to take the Bastille.”

One of their first targets was an old man from Texarkana: a former cotton tenant farmer named Wright Patman who had served in Congress since 1929. He was also the chairman of the U.S. House Committee on Banking and Currency and had been for more than a decade. Antiwar liberal reformers realized that the key to power in Congress was through the committee system; being the chairman of a powerful committee meant having control over the flow of legislation. The problem was: Chairmen were selected based on their length of service. So liberal reformers already in office, buttressed by the Watergate Babies’ votes, demanded that the committee chairmen be picked by a full Democratic-caucus vote instead...



https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...ul/504710/

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  Our Growing Political Dysfunction – What’s to Be Done?
Posted by: Dan '82 - 10-23-2016, 08:38 PM - Forum: Peter Turchin's Theroies - Replies (17)

http://peterturchin.com/blog/2016/10/23/...o-be-done/


Quote:This is from a Reuters article yesterday: “Only half of Republicans would accept Clinton, the Democratic nominee, as their president. And if she wins, nearly 70 percent said it would be because of illegal voting or vote rigging, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday.”
“I’ve never seen an election like this. Not in my lifetime. Certainly not in modern history,” told Reuters Lonna Atkeson, head of the Center for the Study of Voting, Elections, and Democracy at the University of New Mexico.
Very true. To see another horrible election like this one we would have to go back to the nineteenth century America. Although, thankfully, things are not as bad as they were in 1860...



http://peterturchin.com/blog/2016/10/23/...o-be-done/

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  Obama one point below Eisenhower in last pre-election Gallup poll
Posted by: Einzige - 10-22-2016, 02:52 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (13)

Last Gallup approval before election, outgoing two-termers:
Dwight Eisenhower 58%
Ronald Reagan 51%
Bill Clinton 57%
George W Bush 25%
Barack Obama 57%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/gallup-daily-obama-job-approval.aspx

Granted, it's a weak correlation to the eventual election - Nixon and Gore both lost their elections. But it's still better to be a Democrat following Obama than a Republican following Bush II.

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  The New Blue and Red: An Educational Split Is Replacing the Culture War
Posted by: Dan '82 - 10-19-2016, 03:21 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (4)

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/20/upshot...e-war.html


Quote:Hillary Clinton has built a commanding lead over Donald J. Trump in national polls, but she still has one big weakness: white working-class voters, especially men.

Even now, she is underperforming any recent Democratic candidate among white voters without a college degree.
It’s a very different story from 2008, when Barack Obama built a big national lead by attracting white working-class voters in states like Wisconsin and Indiana.

Instead, Mrs. Clinton’s gains come from big margins among well-educated voters and an electorate that’s much more diverse than it was even a decade ago...



http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/20/upshot...e-war.html

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  What if Donald Trump is the new John C. Fremont?
Posted by: Anthony '58 - 10-19-2016, 10:38 AM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (1)

You will recall that Fremont was the first Republican Presidential candidate, in 1856; he lost more or less respectably to James Buchanan, as Trump will now almost certainly lose more or less respectably to Hillary Clinton.

But what if, in 2020, a basically similar candidate - stressing slamming the door on immigration and free trade; i.e., an advocate of Malthusian rather than Darwinian economics - wins the GOP primary again, and this time around, also the general election because that candidate will not have the personal baggage that Trump has?

In that case, 2020 could be the same four-way screaming match as 1860 - with the laissez-faire Republicans bolting the party and running a Ted Cruz or a Marco Rubio as an independent, and there also being a schism among the Democrats, with the socialists no longer willing to play second fiddle to the neo-liberal globalists, as they are doing in this election.

Then "Trump 2.0" wins.

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  Trump supported open borders, globalization and free trade in 2013
Posted by: Einzige - 10-18-2016, 11:01 PM - Forum: General Political Discussion - Replies (3)

... But Clinton is the one who can't be trusted on policy.

http://edition.cnn.com/2013/01/22/busine...mp-europe/

Quote:I think we've all become aware of the fact that our cultures and economics are intertwined. It's a complex mosaic that cannot be approached with a simple formula for the correct pattern to emerge. In many ways, we are in unchartered waters.

The good news, in one respect, is that what is done affects us all. There won't be any winners or losers as this is not a competition. It's a time for working together for the best of all involved. Never before has the phrase "we're all in this together" had more resonance or relevance.

My concern is that the negligence of a few will adversely affect the majority. I've long been a believer in the "look at the solution, not the problem" theory. In this case, the solution is clear. We will have to leave borders behind and go for global unity when it comes to financial stability.

Quote:Europe is a terrific place for investment. I am proud to have built a great golf course in Scotland after searching throughout Europe for five years for the right location. I've seen many beautiful places.

The future of Europe, as well as the United States, depends on a cohesive global economy. All of us must work toward together toward that very significant common goal.

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  Best Tunes from the 2T
Posted by: X_4AD_84 - 10-18-2016, 08:47 PM - Forum: Entertainment and Media - Replies (64)

The 2T started with late "British Invasion" rock, and quickly moved into Hippie Rock / Psychedelic Rock. Acid Rock / Heavy Metal and Prog welled up nearly simultaneously. Then came Punk, Post Punk, New Wave (and Metal never stopped). Lots of good tunes from the 2T.

Here's an album I think Rags might like:



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  IoT
Posted by: Ragnarök_62 - 10-17-2016, 11:56 PM - Forum: Technology - Replies (8)

#IOT   OK, it's one of the latest fads.  Yeah,  it's right up their with mood rings and pet rocks wrt actual utility. Tongue 
It's also the hotbed of "all your appliances are, belong to us. - H3x0rs"

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/10/h...berattacks


http://www.securityweek.com/over-500000-...rai-botnet

Telnet is evil, man.

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