01-08-2017, 05:37 PM
(01-08-2017, 12:26 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: Trump has a terrific opportunity on the economic front, because there has been no actual recovery from the financial recession. Instead, under the Obama administration, the economy has grown parallel to the long term trend, but below it, rather than recovering to the long term trend after the recession as is more usual.
If Trump can identify and reverse the Obama policies that prevented a recovery, and avoid implementing any depressive policies of his own such as trade isolationism, there could be a rapid first term economic improvement that would make him wildly popular. Granted that is a big "if".
As the graph shows the deviation from linearity began after 2000. Both sides have had a crack at it with no results. The problem is things are better for those on the top than they have been for a very long time. Furthermore Republicans are completely dominant without having done anything to address this issue. As soon as Obama leaves office they can assert that its morning in America again. Polls show the GOP base is coming to believe that the economy is in good shape since the election. If it ain't broke you don't fix it.
This has happened before after ca. 1910:
![[Image: latest?cb=20080315042052]](http://vignette2.wikia.nocookie.net/humanscience/images/9/92/Real_GDP_1900-2005.jpg/revision/latest?cb=20080315042052)
Last time effective action on the problem was taken only after those at the top perceived that they had a problem. I don't think we are there yet.