It's a Model, Not Prophecy!

[Marypoza]

(02-14-2017, 08:52 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:

(02-14-2017, 05:58 PM)TeacherinExile Wrote:

(02-14-2017, 05:31 PM)Odin Wrote: Bannon's problem is that while he is smart, he's not quite as clever as he thinks he is. If he is aware of our online community and read the old forums he obviously missed all the criticisms a lot of us have had about S&H's socially conservative biases, for example. If Bannon thinks Millennials are going to willingly fight and die in a Christian holy war he is going to be sorely mistaken.

If the war is characterized as a "Crusade" or "Christian Holy War," you're probably right, especially if the pretext for war is flimsy.  On the other hand, what if the US--in concert with our European allies--declared total war on "radical Islamic terrorists," in response to a mass-casualty attack perpetrated by jihadis using a weapon of mass destruction?  Might not Millennials--here and abroad--be persuaded to enlist in a fight against Islamofascism, whose attacks finally reach a threshold that poses a genuine existential crisis?

The problem that I'm beginning to see with a war from a US standpoint is this: according to S&H theory, isn't any war supposed to be fought by Millennials?  They range in age now (by my own generational markers) from 16 to 35.  My point being that a large contingent of Millennials are getting too old to fight. (On its recruiting website, the U.S. Army reported an average enlistment age of just under 21 in 2012.) The Homelanders (which I date from the 911-attacks) are now turning 16, i.e., rapidly approaching the minimum age (17 or 18) for enlistment in the US military.  And the Homelanders are supposed to be the Artists, not the soldiers, according to S&H theory. 

Correct me if I'm wrong here.

2001 is a real stretch for the end of Millies. In 2001 the Boomers still heavily dominated most seats of power in both the public and private realms. Silents were still very much on scene as well. Exhibit A, my parents. They were both still working in high paid professional jobs. You can't really claim the Millie cut off until Silents are mostly out of the working world. That's mid 00s in my book. 2005 at the earliest. Maybe later if we actually had a long 3T and 2008 was not the actual lynch pin kicking off the 4T.

-- l think Neil Howe said 2005 too