Who are you voting for in 2016?

[playwrite]

(06-07-2016, 03:02 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:

(06-07-2016, 01:54 PM)playwrite Wrote: More HOLY SHXT!!!






The Talking Yam candidacy is blowing up today.



He's stuck.  He can't back down; if he does, he's no longer Donald Trump.  If he doesn't back down, he will not be the GOP's nominee.

The other possibility is he remains the GOP nominee, but the brewing GOP fracture accelerates. The 3rd party (nee "Establishment GOP") candidate - French or someone -  becomes the standard bearer for GOPers who can no longer abide by pretending to support Trump.

We need to remember this is the GOP - not exactly profiles-in-courage.  Very few of them are calling Trump out except for those who came in with the 2010 t-bagger wave and are now facing re-election in Blue States.  The rest on going to wait until the polls come out and see which way the wind is blowing, and it's going to have to blow hard to overcome their fear of being "primaried" or reducing turnout of their base.

If Trump can keep within 3 percentage points of Clinton, it will all smooth over for him - at least until the next big gaffe.
If it goes between 3-5, expect more mumblings from various GOP whoosies but they'll still support/vote for him
If it gets to 5-6, expect a lot of defections, but Trump stays as the nominee - just not enough political juice to overcome t-bagger resistance to dump the chump Trump.
If it goes over 6, certainly over 7, he's gone

From a legal perspective, the last scenario is possible.  The RNC is a private entity that can do whatever they want with their internal rules.  Under the +7 scenario, they will change the rules to be a super-majority on the first ballot; on the next ballot everyone is released.  Also, under a +7 scenario, it is not really that politically far-fetched - Trump will clearly on a path to lose to Clinton and that will get the baggers behind a more viable candidate.  The problem with that (for the GOP) is they will still lose and that lost will blow the GOP apart; it will never again be a viable national political power.  Fingers crossed for good luck for that scenario!