04-18-2017, 09:13 AM
(04-17-2017, 05:46 PM)Mikebert Wrote:(04-17-2017, 05:49 AM)David Horn Wrote: One thing that's not disputable though. Assad has been killing Syrians in large numbers for years.
And Lincoln killed Americans in large numbers. That's what happens in a civil war.
True enough. Assad is following the lead of his father, but it may not work this time. I can't see Syria continuing as a nation under Assad, but I can't see it continuing in any case. Then there is the issue of Turkey under Erdogan, which only adds to the mess in place. Bob's graphic of everyone fighting everyone else is a prescription for chaos, and it may not resolve in our lifetimes.
Let's assume Assad keeps the western half of his country, with the Russian's help. Are they willing to stay engaged for the long term just to get a warm water port for their fleet? I don't see them getting anything else but grief.
Intelligence is not knowledge and knowledge is not wisdom, but they all play well together.