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Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability
#91
(04-18-2017, 01:35 PM)The Wonkette Wrote:
(04-17-2017, 10:25 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: My horoscope methods suggest that Hillary Clinton would have beat Mitt Romney. She had a better horoscope score than he did, as well as a favorable new moon for winning the popular vote. Trump was under-estimated as a candidate.
Got a question about candidates' horoscopes.  In your methodology, do they predict popular votes or electoral college votes?

Incidently, that is my quibble with Lichtstein's 13 keys predictor.  Since 2000, he's been saying that his keys predicted who would win the popular vote, but now he's being lionized because he predicted Trump's victory, even though Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by nearly 3 million votes.  He's trying to have it both ways -- either his model incorrectly predicted 2000 or it incorrectly predicted 2016.

Yes, he said Gore would win in 2000, but it was only the popular vote. In 2016, he predicted Trump would win, but it was only the electoral vote.

In my method, as I said, I have two key indicators (plus other minor indicators). The new moon before election is usually correct, but in cases where the electoral and popular votes conflict (4 times now since 1848), it has predicted the popular vote (and thus was wrong on the outcome). 

In 2016, the new moon predicted Hillary (representing the party in power) would win the popular vote, and the horoscope scores (my other main method) favored Trump. The exact same thing happened in 2000, 1888 and 1876.

But the horoscope score method is about the actual winner. It has been correct 49 out of 58 times, and the electoral vs. popular vote had nothing to do with this. Considering the Saturn Return pattern boosts the score up to 54 out of 58. Candidates with an upcoming Saturn Return (around age 59) in the next term usually lose. In 2 of those cases where the horoscope score method was wrong, 1904 and 1960, with neither candidate having a Saturn Return coming, the new moon method was correct on the popular vote, and the popular vote elected the winner without any conflict with the electoral vote. The other 2 cases were early in history, both involving an Adams, and the popular vote/new moon method was irrelevant.

http://philosopherswheel.com/presidentialelections.html (see Who Scored What)
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
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RE: Donald Trump: polls of approval and favorability - by Eric the Green - 04-18-2017, 02:05 PM

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